Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Betting Predictions

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Regular Season NBA
Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat Betting Predictions

Both the Heat and Raptors pulled off mild upsets in their restart openers by defeating Western Conference foes comfortably Saturday. Toronto was far more impressive in handling the Lakers, but Miami looked very strong in beating the Nuggets by 20 as well. The Heat are looking to keep the momentum going and capture the No. 3 seed in the East.

Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Odds

The Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors square off in their second game of the NBA restart in a seeding game that has far more impact for Miami than it does Toronto. The Raptors are comfortably in the second seed, but are still looking to stay sharp for the playoffs. Miami is only a game and a half back of Boston for the No. 3 seed, and only two up on Indiana to stay as the No. 4 seed.

Toronto is a 2.5-point favorite at all U.S. sportsbooks in New Jersey, which makes sense given how strong it looked against the Lakers on Saturday. Toronto really looked dominant in the second half against Los Angeles, especially Kyle Lowry, who dropped 33 points and grabbed 14 rebounds in the 15-point victory. The defending NBA champions are deserved favorites, and probably where I would lean in this game at -110 odds.

However, it’s hard to rule out the Heat, who were equally impressive in a 20-point win over the Nuggets on Saturday. Miami had six scorers in double figures and shot 55.6 percent from the field, which is good enough to win most nights in the NBA. The Heat also won both matchups this season with Toronto, winning a high-scoring overtime affair in Canada and a low-scoring defensive game in Miami.

There aren’t many team props at the sportsbooks for the seeding games, but there are several interesting player props to consider. The easiest plays are to take Lowry to score more than 19.5 points at -110 and Jimmy Butler to eclipse 18.5 points at -108 on the board. Both are strong scorers and should be the leaders on their respective teams in that department.

The more intriguing player props are the rebounds for the team’s two big men – Toronto’s Pascal Siakam and Miami’s Bam Adebayo. Siakam’s total is set at a relatively low 7.5, and at +100 odds, it’s tempting to take the over. He had nine rebounds in Saturday’s victory, and he had seven rebounds or more in seven of his final 10 games before the pause. Adebayo’s total is at a more difficult to predict 10.5, a total he did not hit against the Nuggets. He did record double-digit rebounds 11 times in the final 14 games before the pandemic, but the safer bet is to pick Adebayo to exceed the 26.5 points and rebounds combined at -106 odds.

The final bet I’d suggest is to take the Kyle Lowry double-double and Raptors win combined bet at +550. Toronto wants to put some fear in the rest of the Eastern Conference with its play during the seeding games, and Lowry is feeling extra confident after his opening game. It’s unfair to expect Lowry to replicate his 14 rebounds from Saturday because it was only his third game of the season with 10 or more rebounds, but he did have 14 games with 10+ assists this year. He’ll be distributing the ball more against Miami with the attention he’ll attract when he has the ball.

My Prediction

Raptors -2.5

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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