Bears vs. Packers Betting Predictions

bears at packers nfl season
Chicago vs. Green Bay, NFL Betting Predictions, November 29

The bye week could not have come at a better time for the Chicago Bears, who had lost four straight games before last week’s off day. Chicago’s offense has sputtered mightily in that span, which isn’t great when facing the Green Bay Packers. Aaron Rodgers will look to break through the Bears’ suffocating defense, which has kept Chicago competitive while the offense struggles. It hasn’t worked the last four games, and it’s doubtful the defense will win Chicago the game Sunday.

Bears vs. Packers Betting Odds

No matter who starts at quarterback for Chicago, the offense is in need of a major overhaul. The Bears rank 31st in both points scored, yards gained and first downs gained while ranking last in rushing offense. Allen Robinson is legitimately the only bright spot on the offense with 63 catches for 755 yards and three touchdowns. But the Bears have only rushed for two touchdowns and Green Bay’s weaknesses defensively is the running game. The Bears still rely heavily on its defense, which is once again a championship-level unit. The defense ranks sixth in points allowed and ninth in yards allowed, but they are especially good at keeping teams out of the end zone. They rank in the top-three in both passing and rushing touchdowns allowed and have forced many high-powered offenses to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns.

Green Bay is led by Rodgers and that passing attack, which continues to pick apart opposing defenses. His 29 touchdown passes are one fewer than the league leader and he ranks fourth in interception percentage at just 1.1 percent. The passing game has only been helped by the return of Davante Adams, who has averaged 105.9 yards per game in eight games this season and has caught a touchdown pass in his last five contests. Aaron Jones is a more than capable running back, but it might make more sense for the Packers to spread out the Bears and force them to defend the pass. The Packers have still had a lot of success even without rushing the ball efficiently. The Packers’ defense would be a problem if not for its recent success against struggling offenses. Green Bay shut down the 49ers and Jaguars the two games prior to last week’s loss to the Colts, and that is more the level to expect out of the Bears this week.

The Bears offense is in serious trouble this week considering we don’t know who is going to start at quarterback. The over/under from the New Jersey online sports betting sites was set at 45, but that just seems too high for a game involving the Bears. Just one of Chicago’s last six games featured more than 41 points, and that streak shouldn’t end this week. Even if the Packers are able to score points, the Bears have looked incapable of scoring themselves, and a change at quarterback likely won’t change that. The Bears defense is legitimate enough to slow down Rodgers and the Packers, but the offense isn’t good enough to score more than a touchdown or two. I’m betting the under 39 points at +190 odds in this game.

Packers to win

Green Bay is favored by more than a touchdown in this game, which is risky from the NFL betting sites in New Jersey considering the Bears have only lost more than one game by more than a touchdown. Even last season when the Bears were equally poor on offense, Chicago lost both games with Green Bay by eight points or fewer. That makes me hesitate before betting the Packers to win this game by more than a touchdown. As good as Rodgers and the Packers offense is, the Bears defense knows how to slow down the star quarterback after 23 previous games against Chicago. I’m betting the Bears plus 7.5 points at +107 odds, though I expect Chicago will still lose.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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