Cleveland Browns vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Predictions

Browns at Cowboys NFL
Cleveland Browns vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Predictions

If not for the Dallas Cowboys’ furious comeback in Week 2, they would be 0-3 heading into this Week 4 matchup with the 2-1 Cleveland Browns. Cleveland was shellacked in the opener by Baltimore, but has responded well with back-to-back victories to inch over .500 for the first time in six years. The Browns’ aggressive defense forced plenty of miscues from Washington last week, but Dak Prescott is a much better quarterback than what Cleveland has faced the last two weeks. Dallas should be able to right the ship at home against this Browns squad.v

Cleveland Browns vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds

Cleveland has arguably the best one-two running back duo in the league with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, both of whom are over 200 yards on the ground through three weeks. It has taken a pressure off Baker Mayfield to be perfect, and the third-year quarterback has responded with solid numbers. I’m not concerned about last week’s lack of yards because Cleveland forced a lot of short fields for itself by converting all four Washington turnovers into points rather quickly. It will be interesting to see how the Browns defense responds to Dallas’ offense because Cleveland didn’t stop many people in the first two weeks, but had four takeaways against Washington.

Dallas’ offense certainly hasn’t been an issue the past six quarters and the Cowboys have put up the most yards of any team through three games. The Cowboys’ defense has struggled, however, which is where I think this game will be won or lost for Dallas. Mayfield is a dramatic step down from the quarterbacks the Cowboys have faced in the first three weeks, but they still need to prove they can stop the Browns offense. Cleveland has a lot of weapons on offense that is can use to exploit the Cowboys, especially a rushing defense that ranks 23rd in the league so far. Dak Prescott has proven he can do enough offensively to win games, so it is up to the defense to prove it can support the other side of the ball and get some stops.

How well the Cowboys can slow down the Browns’ rushing game is the key in maneuvering the betting totals for this game. Most of the NFL betting predictions look at the 55 points that the sportsbooks set as the over/under, but I always try to find an alternate total that might provide better value. In this case, I don’t have a good sense of what type of game is going to play out on Sunday. I’m going to slightly amend the point total down to 51.5 and take the under for +130 odds to try to extract a little more value from this game.

Dallas Cowboys to win

This is a tricky game to predict and the New Jersey online sports betting sites setting the spread at 4.5 points didn’t help. I think Dallas will win the game, and the -225 odds on the moneyline are very intriguing, but there is a better value in betting on the spread. Fortunately, the odds for Dallas laying 5.5 points are +100, which doesn’t seem like much, but it’s a little more than twice the payout as the moneyline. There isn’t much difference from a spread perspective between the 4.5 points the NFL betting sites in New Jersey laid out and the 5.5 points that I’m using as the alternate spread. The Cowboys seem like they will win by about a touchdown, so I’ll bet them to lay 5.5 points at +100 odds.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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