Chiefs vs. Raiders Betting Predictions

chiefs vs raiders nfl season
Kansas City vs. Las Vegas, NFL Betting Predictions, November 22

The Las Vegas Raiders are the only team to have beaten the Chiefs this season, doing so in a shootout back in Week 5. The loss only seemed to reinvigorate the Chiefs, who have steamrolled their next four opponents before a bye last week. The Raiders have kept pace in the playoff race, but it remains to be seen how well the offense will fare against a good team. The Chiefs have Super Bowl aspirations and that means not losing to the same team twice in a season.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Betting Odds

Patrick Mahomes has dialed up his level of play up to 11/10 since the loss to Las Vegas, though it wasn’t like the Raiders stopped the Chiefs really. Mahomes threw five touchdowns against the Jets and four more against the Panthers before the bye week as he threw for at least 37 0 yards in both games. He hasn’t thrown an interception since the loss to the Raiders – his only pick of the season – and the Chiefs have averaged 37 points per game in the last three weeks. Kansas City has the second-best offense in terms of both points scores and yards gained, so it’s the defense that is under the microscope this week. The Chiefs didn’t allow more than 20 points in the three weeks following the setback before the Panthers scored 31 two weeks ago. Carolina, though, did most of its damage through the air while the Raiders will focus on the ground-and-pound this week.

What stuck out most about the Raiders’ win over the Chiefs was how out of the ordinary the offense’s performance proved to be. The 490 yards Las Vegas put up against Kansas City is the only time this year the offense has eclipsed 400 yards and the 346 passing yards are the most by almost 50 yards. Derek Carr had a sensational day with three touchdown passes and Josh Jacobs scored twice, but both of them were inside the 10-yard line. Jacobs and the rushing attack has become the focal point of the Raiders’ offense in recent weeks. Las Vegas has not thrown for more than 160 yards in the last three weeks and rushed for at least 160 yards in all three of those games, all of which ended in victories. The defense has also looked strong in the last three weeks, though the Broncos, Chargers and Browns are nowhere near as explosive as the Chiefs. Kansas City still scored 32 points and gained more than 400 yards of offense in the Raiders’ Week 5 victory, and Las Vegas gave up 300 yards passing to the Chargers two weeks ago.

The biggest question I have about this game is whether or not Kansas City will turn this into a shootout or not. The over/under on this game was set at 56.5 points by the NFL betting sites in New Jersey, which suggests they think a shootout is coming. The Raiders have been very effective at running the football, which is the weakness of the Chiefs’ defense as Kansas City ranks 29th in the NFL against the run. How well Las Vegas rushes the ball will be the difference in whether or not this game hits the over. Kansas City has benefitted the past few weeks with teams having to throw the ball in order to keep pace with them, and that might happen again this week. The Raiders are too run-dependent as an offense and I don’t think Carr and the Raiders can replicate their passing performance from Week 5. I’ll take the under 56.5 total points for -105 odds.

Chiefs to win

The Chiefs are a touchdown favorite in this game and Kansas City should win this game. It’s been eight years since the Raiders have won both games against the Chiefs during the regular season, and this year probably isn’t the year it stops. The Raiders were able to outgun the Chiefs in Kansas City earlier this season, but the offense has become far more run-heavy since it put up a season-best 346 yards in Week 5 against Kansas City. The last two years, Kansas City and Las Vegas played a close game in the first meeting and the Chiefs dominated the second meeting to win by at least 30 points, and I doubt that changes this year. I’m getting bold and doubling the spread from the New Jersey online sports betting sites to take Kansas City laying 14.5 points at +210 odds in this contest.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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