Chiefs vs. Saints Betting Predictions

Chiefs vs Saints NFL
Kansas City vs. New Orleans, NFL Betting Predictions, December 20

This is the most tantalizing matchup of the Week 15 slate as two Super Bowl contenders face off in New Orleans. The New Orleans Saints lost control of the top seed in the NFC with a loss last week in Philadelphia, but the Kansas City Chiefs gained control of the top seed in the AFC last week. Both of these teams believe they can be the champions at the end of the season, so it should be a fun matchup. The difference in this game will be the offense and Kansas City’s is far more trustworthy right now than New Orleans’ attack.

Chiefs vs. Saints Betting Odds

What is going to propel Kansas City back to the top of the mountain is its offense led by Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs have gained the most yards in the NFL and scored the second most points with the top-ranked passing attack in the league. Mahomes has just two main targets – Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce – but teams are still struggling to slow down that dynamic duo of receiving threats. Both have eclipsed 1,100 yards receiving and have caught a combined 23 of Mahomes’ 33 passing touchdowns this season. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has given the Chiefs a spark sometimes on the ground, but most of their success this season has come via Mahomes’ magic arm. It overshadows a defense that ranks 26th against the run this season and has failed to slow down the better quarterbacks in the league. It has resulted in several Mahomes drives to win the game in the fourth quarter in games the Chiefs should have won more handily.

New Orleans is at a crossroads as a Super Bowl contender as they have transformed from the teams we’ve known in years past. Without Drew Brees the last four weeks, Taysom Hill has won three games, but the Saints offense is far from the threat it has been in previous years. Instead, New Orleans is relying on its defense to carry it to victory, but that was an issue last week when Philadelphia ran for 246 yards in an upset victory. The less the Saints need to rely on Hill’s passing to win them games, the better they will perform, but that means the defense needs to continue forcing turnovers like they have done in previous weeks. The challenge for New Orleans this week is that the Chiefs offense is by far the best the Saints have faced since the Week 9 win over Tampa Bay. New Orleans was able to win that game by forcing three turnovers and putting up 420 yards of offense. The Saints have hit 400 yards of offense just once in the next five weeks and didn’t throw for more than 250 yards again until last week. Unlike in previous years, the Saints can’t afford to make this into a shootout, so the defense must rebound from last week.

At the beginning of the season, an over/under on this game of 51.5 points would be a laughingstock. Yet the NFL betting sites in New Jersey have set the point total for this contest there and it is actually a very reasonable post. The Saints have scored 28 or more points just once in the last five games and their offense has become far less dynamic with Hill at quarterback. Mahomes and the Chiefs have scored at least 30 points in four of the last six games and have put up at least 400 yards of offense in the last four contests. The Chiefs defense has struggled against good passing offenses and that is not the strength of this Saints offense at the moment. New Orleans has a top-five defense, but it struggled to slow down the Eagles last week, who are far less explosive than the Chiefs. Ultimately, I think both teams will put on a good show and they’ll edge over the total, so I’ll bet the over 51.5 points at -110 odds.

Chiefs to win

The Chiefs are conservative 3-point favorites in this game at the New Jersey online sports betting sites. New Orleans still has one of the best defenses in the league, but no one is going to shut down this Chiefs offense, they just need to slow them down. The weather isn’t a factor in the dome, so it will make it that much harder for the Saints to stop Mahomes consistently. The Saints aren’t the offensive juggernaut we’re used to seeing under Sean Payton, so if New Orleans is going to win, it must be with the defense. It’s for that reason, I think the Saints will struggle to keep up with the Chiefs for four quarters. I could stay conservative for worse odds and less risk on this game, but the offensive discrepancy has made me decide to be aggressive and bet the Chiefs laying 8.5 points for +200 odds.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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