Control of the AFC South is on the line Thursday night when the Indianapolis Colts travel to the Tennessee Titans. The Titans hold a slim one-game lead over the Colts, but they seem to be going backwards since losing to Pittsburgh three weeks ago. Indianapolis was on a roll before it played Baltimore last week, but the Titans don’t present the same challenge. There’s a decent chance the division will be tied by the time this game ends on Thursday night. Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Odds Indianapolis had a difficult day scoring against the Baltimore defense, but there were signs of life within the offense that should bode well this week. Tennessee ranks 27th in passing defense and has allowed 19 passing touchdowns, the fourth-most in the league. Rivers has done a much better protecting the ball in recent weeks with just two interceptions in the last three games after throwing five in the first five games of the season. Rivers also threw three touchdown passes in consecutive games before the Baltimore contest, more than doubling his total from the first five weeks of the season. If Rivers can provide a reliable passing game, the Colts’ stable of running backs will be able to have more room to roam and use their athleticism and agility. Backs like Nyheim Hines and Jonathan Taylor provide two very different looks to the Colts offense as a rusher, but both are pass-catching options out of the backfield, which will again test the Tennessee defense that has been average against the run this season. The Titans have certainly struggled the last three weeks despite pulling out a win last week against the Bears. Tennessee has failed to amass 300 yards of offense in two of the last three weeks and it scored just 20 points when it put up 441 yards on Cincinnati in a loss. The Steelers and Bears both did an excellent job at neutralizing Derrick Henry and holding him to less than four yards per carry, which threw the Titans offense off kilter. Indianapolis has the third-best rushing defense in the NFL, and have allowed just three teams to rush for 100 yards against it this season. Last week, it was Lamar Jackson that had to get the job done with his feet, something Ryan Tannehill just cannot do on a consistent basis. If Tannehill is forced to become a passer, it will be interesting to watch because the quarterback has completed just 56.8 percent of his passes over the last three weeks. What intrigues me about my first look at the betting lines is the drastic over/under of 48.5 points set by the New Jersey online sports betting sites. The Titans have scored 24 or fewer points in each of their last three games and the Colts have allowed more than 27 points just once this season. Tennessee has allowed 30 or more points in half of its games, but Indianapolis has topped 30 points just three times this season, all against far worse units than the Titans. What we saw last week from both teams seems similar to what we can expect this weekend when they meet on short rest. Neither offense played well against a good defense, but both defenses did well against struggling offenses. I’ll bet on another low-scoring contest and bet the under 42.5 total points for +200 odds. Colts to win What we saw from the Colts last week in stymieing the Ravens was enough to convince me that Indianapolis can easily slow down this Titans offense. The fact Tennessee is a 1.5-point favorite at the NFL betting sites in New Jersey is quite shocking, considering how poorly the Titans have played the last three weeks. The knock the sportsbooks have against the Colts is they don’t have any quality wins, but that doesn’t mean they cannot win in a game against the struggling Titans. As I pointed out above, the Titans’ offense has struggled with great defenses this season and Indianapolis has a fantastic defense. Philip Rivers should be able to do what Nick Foles did to the Titans’ secondary last week, so I’ll take the Colts laying 2.5 points for +130 odds.