New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Predictions

Dolphins at Patriots NFL
New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Predictions

For the first time in two decades, Tom Brady is not the New England Patriots’ starting quarterback, and New England begins this new era by hosting the Miami Dolphins. The Patriots’ offense will have a new look with the more mobile Cam Newton playing quarterback, but New England is still reliant on its defense. Fortunately, it shouldn’t matter against Miami, which still seems a year or two away from being competitive in the AFC. It’ll be close, but the Patriots should win their opener yet again.

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Odds

There has been a lot of change in New England after Brady’s departure and the Patriots’ revamped offense will be under the microscope early in the season. Newton is coming off two injury-plagued season and his skill set is vastly different than what Brady offered. A big question is how will the Patriots use Newton’s legs as part of their offense, or will Newton try to make himself a pocket passer after so many foot injuries. Either way, he will be the focal point of an offense that lacks many other quality skill players around him.

Miami’s best weapon is DeVante Parker and the Dolphins have wily veteran quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick back to warm the seat for Tua Tagovailoa. The Dolphins are clearly in the midst of a rebuild, so they are ill-prepared to handle New England’s defense. The Patriots’ defense is still what is going to decide New England’s games this season, and should continue to be a strength under Bill Belichick. That unit should overwhelm the Miami offense and subdue the Dolphins from making too much noise.

This is a game that is tough to read on the New Jersey online sports betting sites because of the lack of preseason games. The Patriots are among the secretive teams in the league when it comes to filtering information, so how good Newton has been or how much the receivers have improved are really unknown. Either way, the Patriots are still the Patriots, so they will be favorites on those NFL betting sites in New Jersey.

I have two interesting prop bets I’m intrigued by in this game. The first is that Miami will be the first team to score, which you can bet on at +128 odds. The Patriots might need a possession or two against a different defense to adjust to the new personnel, and that gives the Dolphins a chance to kick an early field goal to get on the board first.

The other is to go under 39.5 combined points at +138 odds because the Patriots defense won’t give up much to the Miami offense. However, New England’s offense struggled to score with Tom Brady at quarterback, so I can only imagine what Cam Newton can do with this crew of receivers. It’ll be a long learning process for everyone on New England’s offense, and it won’t result in many points in the opener.

New England Patriots to win

This is going to be a close game, but I don’t know if Miami is going to be able to score enough to get past New England. Newton’s versatility will be an asset for the Patriots even if there aren’t many designed running plays for the former NFL MVP. He won’t be able to show off his arm at full health thanks to a lack of deep threats, but he’ll use his running backs and Julian Edelman well enough that I’ll take New England on the moneyline at -286 odds.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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