Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Predictions

Falcons at Packers NFL
Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Predictions

The morale within the Atlanta Falcons locker room must be taking a hit after blowing double-digit leads in the final seven minutes of the fourth quarter in consecutive games. The worst team to face after that is the 3-0 Green Bay Packers, who have seemingly rolled through every team in their path so far this season. Even if Atlanta hadn’t blown those leads, it would be a tall task for the Falcons to head to Green Bay in primetime and win. Given the situation, though, the Packers should crush the demoralized Falcons.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Odds

It is hard to fault the Atlanta offense itself for the Falcons’ collapses, though it is a team effort to blow 15- and 16-point leads in the fourth quarter of consecutive weeks. Matt Ryan has thrown for 961 yards and seven touchdowns through three weeks and Todd Gurley is averaging four yards per carry, which is enough to keep teams honest. The bigger issue, of course, is a defense that only gets worse as the game progresses. The Falcons have allowed 74 points in the second half this season, including 46 in the fourth quarter, compared to just 34 total points in the first half of games. It is simply unfathomable that a team could be that poor in crunch time, but Atlanta has proven exactly that in the first three weeks to fall to 0-3. Atlanta ranks in the top-10 in both yards gained and points scored, but is last in the NFL in points allowed and 31st in yards allowed.

There might not be enough positives to say about the Green Bay offense right now, which has just been dominating defense thus far. Green Bay has only had to punt five times through three games while it has scored on 20 offensive possessions, 13 touchdowns and seven field goals. Aaron Rodgers has thrown nine touchdowns without an interception and is averaging nearly 300 yards per game this season. Rodgers has spread the ball around the field well with four receivers already being targeted at least 17 times this season and five receivers with seven or more catches. Aaron Jones ranks second in rushing with 303 yards on 50 carries and his four touchdown runs are tied for the most in the NFL. It has resulted in Green Bay having the highest-scoring offense in the league and gaining the second-most yards through three games.

The NFL betting sites in New Jersey are trying to lure bettors into their trap with the over/under for this game. The 57.5 total points set for this contest is attractive because this is in theory two high-scoring offenses facing each other in primetime, a week after the Packers played a high-scoring contest with the Saints. The difference is New Orleans was at home and Atlanta is traveling to Green Bay, which is why I’m laying off the total points in this game. Instead, I’m focusing on the Packers, who have scored at least 37 points in each of the first three weeks and has eclipsed 40 points twice. The meager 33 points set for Green Bay in this game seems like easy money for those like myself who will bet the over at -110 odds. Where I’ll try to increase by profit is by adding a wager that the first half will feature more than 29.5 total points at +110 odds.

Green Bay Packers to win

The Packers offense is simply too good for this Falcons defense and Rodgers should be able to tear apart the Atlanta secondary. Green Bay is seven-point favorites at home, but I don’t think that’s nearly enough to cover the gap in quality between these teams. Atlanta might be able to put up points early in the game, but it won’t nearly be enough to keep pace with this efficient Packers attack. This is going to be a very risky wager, but I’m bumping the spread up at the New Jersey online sports betting sites, and taking the Packers laying 13.5 points at +170 odds in this game.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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