Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Predictions

Packers at Buccaneers NFL
Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Predictions

It’s not the headline-grabbing matchup it was a few years ago, but it’s always fun when Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers meet on the field. Rodgers is commanding one of the best offenses in the NFL this season with the Green Bay Packers while Brady is still adjusting to life with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Packers have the advantage from a firepower standpoint, and it’s hard to count out Brady in any signature matchup, but Green Bay is the deserved favorite in this game.

Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Odds

Green Bay has arguably the best offense in the league this season thanks in large part to Aaron Rodgers. The veteran quarterback has thrown 13 touchdowns without an interception through four games as the Packers lead the league in points per game and rank second in yards. Rodgers has spread around the ball with six different receivers registering at least 12 catches and six have caught at least one touchdown from the signal caller. In addition, Aaron Jones is averaging almost six yards per carry and has scored four rushing touchdowns this year. It’s the type of balanced offense that makes it hard for teams to slow down, but Green Bay still has some issues with its defense. The Vikings and Saints proved how easy it can be to score on the Packers with a competent offense, keeping the pressure on Green Bay to keep scoring in order to win the game. Granted the Packers’ defensive numbers are skewed by teams needing to throw the ball because they’re playing from behind, but the Packers still have shown defensive vulnerabilities against good quarterbacks.

Before we discuss Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay offense, it’s important to look at the Buccaneers’ defense. Tampa Bay ranks second in the NFL in yards allowed and eighth in points allowed, but it also hasn’t faced the greatest offenses through five weeks. Indeed, the Buccaneers rank in the middle of the pack in terms of passing defense, which Rodgers and the Packers will certainly test. Brady, though, will have a much easier time this week against the Green Bay defense than he had last week against Chicago’s unit. Brady is clearly not the quarterback he once was, but he has the weapons around him to be dangerous if they can stay healthy. Mike Evans has been dealing with an ankle injury and Chris Godwin has missed the last two games with a hamstring injury, so if one or both of those receivers are out, it will have a negative impact on Tampa Bay’s offense.

I was kind of surprised by the 54.5 points on the over/under for this game between two quality quarterbacks. I’d easily take Green Bay to score more than 27.5 points and chances are the Buccaneers can do the same, so I expected three or four more points on that line. The good news is that means we can find more value at the NFL betting sites in New Jersey by using the alternate totals offered. The Packers should be able to move down the field quite easily on this Tampa Bay defense that allowed Justin Herbert and the Chargers to pick it apart. Meanwhile, Brady is savvy enough to find points with the weapons he’ll have on offense. I think these teams can top 30 points each, so I’ll push the envelope and take the over 62.5 total points at +220 odds.

Packers to win

The Packers are one-point favorites in this game, but there isn’t really a difference between that spread and the moneyline, so we’re going to use an alternate spread from the New Jersey online sports betting sites. This is an interesting test for the Buccaneers’ top-10 defense because it hasn’t faced an offense this good since the opener against New Orleans when Tampa Bay surrendered 34 points. The Chargers also put 31 points up on the Buccaneers, so this sets up well for Rodgers and the Packers to score points. However, Green Bay’s defense has been suspect at times, so it’s hard to expect the Packers to run away with this game. I’ll land at a comfortable 3.5 points on the spread and take Green Bay laying 3.5 points at +140 odds

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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