Packers vs. Lions Betting Predictions

Packers vs Lions NFL
Green Bay vs. Detroit, NFL Betting Predictions, December 13

The Green Bay Packers continue to roll through their schedule with a strong offense and are just one win away from securing their spot in the postseason. The Detroit Lions found some more juice last week in their first game under Darrell Bevell, but this game is still a tall task. Detroit doesn’t have enough weapons to keep up Aaron Rodgers and the Packers’ offense at the moment.

Packers vs. Lions Betting Odds

Any conversation about the Packers must start and end with Rodgers, who is having an MVP-caliber season in Green Bay. He’s thrown a league-best 36 touchdowns and has thrown just four interceptions. Rodgers has tossed at least three touchdowns in nine of Green Bay’s 12 games while not necessarily filling up the stat sheet with yards. The reason is the re-emergence of a ground game with Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams, who have helped Green Bay rush for 150 yards in consecutive games for the first time since the first two weeks of the season. The Packers actually ran for more yards against Detroit than it threw for in their first meeting, and the Lions are actually worse against the run than the pass.

Detroit showed a lot of resilience last week in coming back to stun Chicago for Bevell’s first win. However, the pedestrian Bears offense scored a season-high 30 points on this Lions defense, and the challenge only gets tougher with Rodgers coming to town. The Lions have the second-worst scoring defense in the NFL and have allowed more rushing touchdowns than any team in the league. They also rank 26th in passing defense, which is a far more pertinent stat when defending the Packers offense. Detroit’s offense has come to life with three games of at least 24 points in its last four outings after a stretch of three straight games with less than 24 points each. The Lions will need to be able to stay with the Packers score for score, which requires a lot from Matthew Stafford and that receiving corps.

The over/under on this game is 55.5 points, and that is just way too low of a total from the NFL betting sites in New Jersey. The Packers dropped 42 points on the Lions the first time they played and allowed 21 to a much weaker Detroit offense than the one Green Bay faces this week. The Packers should easily surpass their over/under of 33 points, but Detroit will also blast past its over/under of 23.5 points. We saw two weeks ago when Green Bay builds a large lead, teams can move the ball through the air against this defense. I expect more of the same this week, so I’ll bet over 62.5 total points at +200 odds for this game.

Packers to win

I was surprised the Packers were only 7.5-point favorites at the New Jersey online sports betting sites, but that opens the door for some value in an alternate spread. I am tempted to get greedy as I lack any trust in Detroit to slow down Rodgers and the offense, but I’ll put some faith in this Bevell-coached offense to score against the Packers. This game will be closer than the first meeting when Green Bay doubled up Detroit, but the Lions haven’t closed the gap that much. I’m sensing a two-touchdown game seems about right, so I’ll bet the Packers laying 13.5 points for +150 odds. However, I’m also a big fan of the parlay from FanDuel where you can bet the Packers laying 7.5 points and over 54.5 total points for +250 odds.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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