Packers vs. Rams Betting Predictions

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams NFL Divisional Round
Green Bay vs. Los Angeles, NFL Betting Predictions, Divisional Round, January 16

This is an ideal matchup for fans of the NFL playoffs as the best scoring offense in the league, the Green Bay Packers, faces the best scoring defense in the league, the Los Angeles Rams. The real question, though, is the other matchup between a banged-up Rams offense and a Packers defense that still has a lot of questions to answer after its performance in last year’s postseason. It will be an interesting match of wits for both coaches, but it’s hard to bet against the Packers at home when the opposing team is struggling on offense.

Packers vs. Rams Betting Odds

The Rams are led by their top-ranked defense, which has carried Los Angeles into the postseason while the offense has struggled. Los Angeles has gained 334 yards or fewer in five straight games and six of the last seven, but has managed to win three of those six games due to the defense. The Rams have allowed more than 24 points just once in the last nine games and they have forced at least two turnovers in seven of the last 11 contests. Meanwhile, last week’s Wild Card victory was Los Angeles first without a turnover all season. The injury to Aaron Donald won’t stop him from playing against the Packers, but how effective will he be against the Green Bay offensive line? The Rams offense has become too one-dimensional in recent weeks with the injuries at quarterback limiting how effective the Rams can be throwing the ball. Jared Goff’s injured thumb was clearly giving him problems last week against Seattle, and John Wolford is still recovering from the stinger he suffered last week. That means they will have to rely more on Cam Akers and the running game to move the ball against a Green Bay defense playing extremely well in recent weeks.

Green Bay is in for a stiff test against this Rams defense because Los Angeles has a cornerback in Jalen Ramsey who can match Devante Adams in man coverage. Adams has been arguably the best receiver in the league this year, and Aaron Rodgers has torched opposing defenses by targeting Adams early and often. However, the Rams have the skill in the secondary to take away Adams, so it will be vital that some of the secondary receivers along with tight end Robert Tonyan be ready to step up. Los Angeles wasn’t ranked as the top passing defense in the NFL by accident and it also allowed the fewest passing touchdowns in the league. The biggest challenge for the Packers, though, will be getting Aaron Jones and the running game going against the third-ranked rushing defense. Jones’ success running the ball has opened up a lot for the Green Bay offense, and if the Packers are forced to throw the ball 40-50 times in this game, it could play int the Rams’ hands. On the other side of the ball, Green Bay has kept opponents to 365 yards or less in each of the last six games, and the Packers must stay disciplined and not let the Rams gain momentum on offense with the rushing attack.

The football betting sites in New Jersey have set the over/under on game at 45.5 points, which is interesting for this NFL Divisional Round game. Green Bay has scored 30 or more points in six of its last seven games, but it also has not played against the talent on defense it faces this week. The Rams’ offense has struggled mightily in recent weeks, and it was a defensive score that pushed Los Angeles to 30 points last week. Rodgers does not throw many interceptions, however, so it is unrealistic to think the Rams will score on defense this week. The over/under on the Rams is set at 19.5 points, and I think Green Bay is able to capitalize on the injuries at quarterback to hold Los Angeles under that number. So in addition to betting the under 19.5 points on the Rams at -108 odds, we look at the game as a whole. Los Angeles’ defense has allowed 30 points just once this season, and there’s no reason to believe the unit will do it again this week. That means this game should definitely hit the under, but I think it could be more low-scoring than that, so I’m betting under 40.5 total points in this game for +180 odds at the NFL betting sites in New Jersey.

Packers to win

I was initially very skeptical about the NFL Divisional Round odds being so much in Green Bay’s favor. The Packers are 6.5-point favorites at the legal sports betting sites in New Jersey, and that just seemed like a lot given the strength of Los Angeles’ defense. However, what ultimately changed my mind was a game three weeks ago in Seattle between the Seahawks and the Rams. Los Angeles could not get anything done on offense and its defense played really well, yet the Rams still lost by 11 points. That might be what to expect from these two teams Saturday as Rodgers and Packers face down this tenacious Rams defense. Green Bay is not going to look like the dominant offense it was for most of the season, but the Packers should look a lot better than the Rams on offense. You cannot let me betting on the Packers laying 9.5 points at +138 odds fool you into thinking this is going to be a blowout. It’s going to be a tight game, but the Packers offense makes enough plays that the defense doesn’t have to sweat it out at the end.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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