Green Bay Packers vs. New Orleans Saints Betting Predictions

Packers at Saints NFL
Green Bay Packers vs. New Orleans Saints Betting Predictions

These are two quarterbacks and offenses headed in opposite directions at the moment. Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints were hyped as Super Bowl favorites, but the quarterback has not lived up to those expectations in the first two weeks. Aaron Rodgers seemed to be on his way out of Green Bay this offseason, but instead has led the league’s best offense in the opening two games. Even in New Orleans, you roll with the offense in rhythm, and that is the Packers are the moment.

Green Bay Packers vs. New Orleans Saints Betting Odds

If I were to ask before the season which of these two teams would have the best offense in the NFL heading into this game, your answer likely wouldn’t have been the Green Bay Packers. Yet Aaron Rodgers has led the Packers atop the league in both points and yards in the opening two weeks. Rodgers has already thrown six touchdown passes and he hasn’t thrown an interception while Aaron Jones is leading the league in rushing with 234 yards, and he’s also ran for three touchdowns. The Packers defense has been average, but that is an improvement upon last year and the unit has done more than enough given the team’s offensive prowess.

New Orleans’ offense has really struggled through two games, and the injury to Michael Thomas didn’t help. The issue has been Brees looks like a shell of his former self and even though he threw for 300 yards last week against the Raiders, he didn’t look great doing it. Alvin Kamara was a large part of the Saints offense last week, but New Orleans has been below average rushing the ball this season, which again puts more pressure on Brees’ arm. Even the defense that New Orleans was hoping could be the backbone to a title run has been shaky, especially in failing to slow down Las Vegas last week in the second half.

Once again, I’m putting my focus on the team-specific point totals for these NFL betting predictions. The NFL betting sites in New Jersey assume the Saints are going to score around 27.5 points, and I can’t imagine that offense being able to put up that many points. Meanwhile, they have the Packers limited to 24 points, and I expect they will blow past that total with relative ease given their recent form. So I’d bet the over 24 points for the Packers at -108 odds and parlay that with the Saints scoring less than 27.5 points at -112 odds.

Green Bay Packers to win

There’s really nothing about the Saints offense – or defense – that leads me to believe they deserve to be three-point favorites in this game. But that means we can stretch out some value out of the New Jersey online sports betting sites with the alternate spreads on this game. The Packers have the best offense in the NFL through two games with more than 1,000 yards and 85 points in just two weeks. They should be able to pick apart the Saints defense, and win the game, but I think we can extract more value than the +148 odds on the moneyline. So I’m going to flip the script and take the Packers laying 3.5 points for +210 odds instead.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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