Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots Betting Predictions

Raiders at Patriots NFL
Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots Betting Predictions

The Las Vegas Raiders are the most surprising 2-0 team in the NFL, but now they face a stiff test in the New England Patriots. The Patriots are not the same team they have been in the past, but they still adapt to each week as well as anyone in the league. I don’t know if Cam Newton and the Patriots offense can score enough to keep up with the Raiders’ offense which has been punishing teams through the first two weeks of the season.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots Betting Odds

One of the big reasons Las Vegas has been off to a surprising start has been the play of Derek Carr at quarterback. He hasn’t put up a ton of yards, but he’s completing 73.5 percent of his passes and thrown four touchdowns, and he hasn’t had a turnover yet through two games. That accurate passing hasn’t been taking the tops off any defenses with an average of 6.3 yards in the air per pass attempt, but Carr is putting his teammates in position to make plays. Josh Jacobs is also keeping teams honest with his physical running style that might not rack up yards, but does force teams to pay a physical price for tackling him.

New England’s offense has really focused on Cam Newton through two weeks, and that comes with both positives and negatives. Newton being the team’s leading rusher and only one with more than 56 rushing yards through two weeks is troublesome in keeping teams honest. However, Newton has been excellent at throwing the ball with a 71.4 completion percentage despite only throwing one touchdown pass so far. He’s really focused in on Julian Edelman and N’Keal Harry as his main targets, but otherwise has had to settle for running backs and tight ends in the passing game.

For my NFL betting predictions, I’m going to look at the individual point totals the New Jersey online sports betting sites placed on each team. In the Patriots’ case, the line was set at 27 points, which seems way too high given the recent history of the Patriots’ offense. Prior to last week’s game against Seattle, the Patriots had scored at least 27 points in just one of its previous 10 games, and that was against the pitiful Bengals. So definitely take the under 27 points for New England at -104 odds.

The total is a bit kinder to the Raiders at 20.5 points, which is a sign of the respect the sportsbooks have for the Patriots’ defense. However, Las Vegas has scored 34 points in both of its first two games, and ranks fourth in scoring offense early on. New England’s defense was beaten up by Seattle’s offensive line and the Raiders have a similar strong line that should pave the way for Jacobs to have some success. I’m taking the over 20.5 points for Las Vegas at equal -104 odds.

Las Vegas Raiders to win

The Patriots are massive favorites in this game, which only makes sense based on past performances and a blind trust in Bill Belichick. I will cede that Seattle is better than Las Vegas, but the Raiders’ offense has been clicking in the first two weeks and presents a far different challenge than either of the Patriots’ first two opponents. Las Vegas also slowed down the Saints offense last week and now faces a Patriots offense that feels very one dimensional with no other running back except Cam Newton being effective. This matchup seems prime for an upset, so I’ll take Las Vegas on the moneyline for +220 odds at the NFL betting sites in New Jersey.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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