Baltimore Ravens vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Predictions

Ravens at Eagles NFL
Baltimore Ravens vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Predictions

The Baltimore Ravens continue to cruise this season behind a dominant defense and an aggressive rushing attack. They travel to face a Philadelphia Eagles team trying to find its offensive identity with the NFC East race wide open. The Eagles’ offensive miscues have cost them before this season and Baltimore isn’t the opponent to let those mistakes slide this week, either.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Odds

Baltimore is just suffocating teams right now after holding Cincinnati to just three points last week. The offense hasn’t been flashy and Lamar Jackson isn’t an MVP candidate so far. Baltimore has instead decided to grind out wins over teams as it ranks third in rushing yards and leads the league with 5.6 yards per attempt. The Ravens have thrown the ball the least out of the 32 NFL teams and rank 31st in passing yards. Yet the Ravens still rank eighth in scoring and have four wins by at least two scores. On the flip side, the Ravens’ defense has lived up to its billing as one of the best units in the league. Teams are scoring on just 26 percent of their drives against the Ravens, slightly better than the 18.5 percent of drives that end in a Baltimore takeaway.

Philadelphia’s troubles begin with Carson Wentz and the offense, which faces a stiff test this week against Baltimore. The Ravens rank third in the league with 10 takeaways so far and the Eagles rank next to last with 11 turnovers through five games. In particular, Wentz has thrown nine interceptions, the most of any quarterback in the league, and not a great stat against an opportunistic defense like the Ravens. Wentz has also fumbled the ball four times and Baltimore leads the NFL with seven fumble recoveries this season. The Eagles scored a season-high 29 points last week against Pittsburgh, but that seems like a daunting task to replicate against the best scoring defense in the league. On the other side of the ball, Baltimore ranks in the bottom quarter of teams in terms of yards, but ranks eighth in points scored, which is all that matters. Philadelphia will obviously need to contain Jackson inside the pocket, but its bigger issue is slowing down a running game that has gained at least 140 yards in the last four games. If the Eagles cannot stop the rush, it won’t matter how they  attack Jackson.

Baltimore has held four of its five opponents to 17 points or fewer, and the one who scored more than 17 points had Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. Therefore, I’ll make the easy bet on Philadelphia to score fewer than 19.5 points for -102 odds at the New Jersey online sports betting sites. The more difficult part is figuring out how much Baltimore will be able to score on the road in Philadelphia. The over/under on the Ravens is set at 27.5 points, which is probably right around where I would peg Baltimore to score. So instead of figuring out Baltimore’s offense, I’ll look at the game as a whole and the over/under for total points is 48. That seems a bit high for me, so I’ll lower that total and bet on under 42.5 total points for +175 odds.

Ravens to win

Baltimore is 7.5-point favorites over the Eagles, and that seems very fair for a road team that is much better than the hosts. However, as I mentioned before, all four of Baltimore’s wins have come by at least two touchdowns, so that is something I want to explore with these NFL betting predictions. The Ravens are a bad matchup for a turnover-prone Eagles offense and Baltimore is very good at converting those takeaways into points. Philadelphia’s defense also will have its hands full with the Ravens’ ground attack, which of course will drain more time off the clock. Ultimately, I see the value in picking Baltimore to lay 14.5 points instead for +210 odds as opposed to the standard -105 odds for the Ravens laying 7.5 points.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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