New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears Betting Predictions

saints vs bears nfl season
New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears Betting Predictions

The New Orleans Saints continue to find ways to win despite injuries and illness ravaging their offense. Meanwhile, a fully healthy Chicago Bears offense was held to just three points by the Rams last week and Chicago has scored 20 or fewer points in three of the past four weeks. The Bears defense has been excellent to boost Chicago to a 5-2 record, but that offense is starting to hurt the Bears too much. New Orleans may not score a lot, but the Saints can certainly score more than the Bears.

New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears Betting Odds

It seems unlikely New Orleans will have either of their top-two receivers again this week, which will certainly hurt against this strong Chicago defense. Yet Drew Brees and the Saints offense has made it work the last few weeks with a rotating cast of performers stepping up in a given week. It’s never been the prettiest offense we’ve seen from Brees and coach Sean Payton, but it’s been effective enough to win. New Orleans has racked up at least 390 yards of offense in the last five games and it is scoring on roughly half of their offensive drives, which is the fifth-best percentage in the NFL. Alvin Kamara will be the key again for the Saints against an average rushing defense, and the Saints will also need to protect Brees from the Bears pass rush. New Orleans’ defense, which has been inconsistent this season, should not be tested too much by the Bears defense and might even be able to grab a few takeaways as well.

Chicago’s decision to switch to Nick Foles as its starting quarterback has yet to pay dividends for the Bears offense. The Bears have not gained 300 yards of offense in any of Foles’ four starts this season and they have maxed out at 63 rushing yards in the last four weeks as well. Thus far the Bears have not wasted the spectacular effort from the Chicago defense, but they are teetering on the brink of it all coming crashing down. The Bears have only scored on 35 percent of their offensive possessions this season, but that number has dropped to 29.2 percent the last four weeks under Foles. In that span, the Bears have also committed five turnovers and they had three drives stopped on fourth down last week against the Rams. For as good as Chicago’s defense has been, if it must also score the points like it did last week, it’s hard to see how the Bears can be successful.

One of the easiest bets on the market in recent weeks has been to bet the under on the Bears games. In each of the last four weeks, Chicago’s games have featured fewer than 40 points and that includes games against some good offenses. The Saints are still going to be shorthanded on offense while the Bears will likely still be inept on that side of the ball. It sets up for a game that will fall short of the 44 points on the over/under total at the New Jersey online sports betting sites. I’m betting the Bears hold this game under 40 total points for a fifth straight week and bet the under 40.5 points at +155 odds.

Saints to win

New Orleans is a four-point favorite in this game, which might seem a bit low considering how poor the Chicago offense has been in recent weeks. However, the Bears defense is certainly good enough to keep this game close, but it’s hard to have confidence in the offense to actually take advantage of such a close game. The Saints also have a history of letting teams hang around as all three of their wins during this current streak have come by six or fewer points. However, those games were against teams with legitimate offenses, something the Bears haven’t proven to possess. For the value alone, I’ll take the Saints laying 4.5 points for +100 odds on the NFL betting sites in New Jersey.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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