Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Predictions

steelers vs cowboys nfl season
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Predictions

This is a matchup of two teams headed in opposite directions this year as we hit the midway point of the NFL season. The Pittsburgh Steelers are the last remaining unbeaten team in the league after beating the rival Ravens last week in a tight contest. Meanwhile, the Dallas Cowboys are in a tail spin after Dak Prescott’s injury and will enter the game with its third-string quarterback. This is a mismatch in favor of the Steelers, and it will be curious to see how lopsided this game will get.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds

There is a lot to like about the way Pittsburgh is playing right now, especially on defense. The Steelers rank second in the NFL in takeaways and interceptions as they are sixth in scoring defense and fifth in total defense. Pittsburgh is also a top-5 scoring offense, though, they rank 25th in yards gained because of the short fields they acquire due to the takeaways. The Steelers have proven to be equally adept at running the ball and passing it, though, they don’t rank highly in either category due to the yards discrepancy. Ben Roethlisberger’s presence has helped stabilize the Steelers’ offense compared to last season as he has thrown 15 touchdowns and just four interceptions while completing a little more than two-thirds of his passes.

The Ben DiNucci experiment is over after one game in Dallas, though it is hard to blame him for the issues going on with the Cowboys. Dallas is turning to a competition between Garrett Gilbert and Cooper Rush as to who will start at quarterback this week for the Cowboys. The hope is one of those “veterans” will be able to jumpstart an offense that has been lackluster at best since Prescott’s injury. That will be difficult against this Pittsburgh defense, if for no other reason than it’s hard to see how Gilbert or Rush would be a massive improvement over DiNucci. Gilbert has been in the league since 2014, but appeared in just six games and attempted only six passe while Rush has attempted three passes in five appearances since 2017. A marginally better offense also won’t erase a defense that has improved slightly last week, though it was tough to tell if that was more Dallas’ success or Philadelphia’s abject failures. The Cowboys still are the worst scoring defense in the league and the worst rushing defense in the league as well.

We’ll start with the easy points bets on the market at the NFL betting sites in New Jersey. Since Prescott’s injury, the Cowboys have not scored more than 10 points in any of their three games, and those were against far worse defenses than Pittsburgh possesses. I’d run to the bank with the Cowboys scoring under 13 points on Sunday at -110 odds. I expect Pittsburgh to go over the 27 points on its total at the sportsbooks, but that isn’t where the value is in betting on the points in this game. The New Jersey online sports betting sites have the over/under on this game set at 41.5 points, which is really a question on how many points the Steelers can score. Pittsburgh’s offense is better than the two NFC East rivals Dallas faced in the past two weeks and will likely rival the 38 points Arizona scored on the Cowboys. As a result, I’ll push the over/under total up and take the over 45.5 total points at +155 odds.

Steelers to win

Pittsburgh is favored by nearly two touchdowns and that is a conservative estimate given the mismatch in this contest. The Steelers are fairly healthy at all the major positions and they have looked very strong the past few weeks – especially on defense. The fact the Cowboys are auditioning two veteran quarterbacks likely won’t overcome a shaky defense that will likely be exploited by the Steelers’ offense. Pittsburgh has all the weapons to take advantage of the Dallas defensive weaknesses, so I expect the Steelers to easily cover the spread despite being the road team. I’m honestly expecting Pittsburgh to win by three or more scores, so I’m going bold and taking Pittsburgh laying 20.5 points at +250 odds.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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