Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans Betting Predictions

Texans at Chiefs NFL
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans Betting Predictions

This is a rematch of last season’s AFC Divisional Round playoff game when the Kansas City Chiefs rallied from a 24-0 deficit to defeat the Houston Texans. Kansas City has kept most of its offensive weapons together while Houston traded away its best receiver for a running back and some draft picks. I don’t expect the Texans to be able to keep up with the Chiefs in the NFL’s season opener, even if Arrowhead Stadium isn’t going to be rocking with fans.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans Betting Odds

Kansas City is the decisive favorite on the NFL betting sites in New Jersey at nine points on the spread, and rightfully so. The reigning Super Bowl champion returns most of the roster that won the title a year ago, and the Chiefs are an even more dangerous offense as well with some of their additions. Kansas City drafted Clyde Edwards-Helaire out of LSU to give itself a true rushing option to help take some pressure off Patrick Mahomes’ arm.

Houston made a big splash when it traded star receiver DeAndre Hopkins for running back David Johnson and some draft picks. It probably made the Texans roster weaker as a whole, and it will be interesting to see how Deshaun Watson handles the lack of true No. 1 receiver. I don’t trust Houston’s ability to establish a running game with Johnson, and I don’t trust their receivers to stay healthy and make an impact for Houston this season.

The lack of a preseason is important to note when making NFL betting predictions in the first two or three weeks because this is the first game action most of these players have had since late December or early January. As a result, I am hesitant to get too exotic with my first few predictions of the season, but one bet I am focusing on in this game is the total points prop. Most sportsbooks are offering the line at 54.5, but I think we might see some low-scoring games early in the season given the lack of a preseason. But if I had to make one exotic wager, it would be betting the under 49.5 total points at +155 odds un the season opener for both teams.

Kansas City Chiefs to win

Even though Houston’s defense has a healthy J.J. Watt leading it, it’s going to be a difficult task to slow down the Chiefs offense under Mahomes. The quarterback has been remarkable when healthy the last two seasons and he has more weapons at his disposal this year than he had last year. Houston’s offense is going to miss Hopkins’ presence and will grind to a halt against a stronger Chiefs defense. I’m going to take the Chiefs laying 10 points for +102 odds from the New Jersey online sports betting sites.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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