Titans vs. Packers Betting Predictions

Titans vs Packers NFL
Tennessee vs. Green Bay, NFL Betting Predictions, December 27

The Green Bay Packers have won four straight and six of their last seven to take control of the top seed in the NFC. The Tennessee Titans clinch a playoff berth with a victory and have a chance to also clinch the AFC South title with some help. This battle between playoff contenders is a matchup of strength versus weakness, and in that case, I’m taking the hosts to win a tight one.

Titans vs. Packers Betting Odds

The Titans rely heavily on Derrick Henry and the running game to jumpstart their offense, and with good reason. Henry leads the NFL in rushing and he’s gone over 100 yards in five of his last six games. The running game has opened the door for Ryan Tannehill to dissect defenses with his passing. Tannehill threw three touchdowns in last week’s win over Detroit and he’s completed more than 77 percent of his passes in each of the last two weeks. The Titans do have two dynamic receivers in A.J. Brown and Corey Davis for Tannehill to target, and tight end Jonnu Smith is a threat in the red zone. The issue Tennessee is going to run into this week is defending the Packers passing attack. The Titans rank 29th in passing defense and they have allowed 29 passing touchdowns while ranking 21st in scoring defense. Tennessee’s defense has really struggled for most of the past month to slow down worse offenses than what it faces in the Packers, so it will be interesting to see how they handle this unit.

Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense had a lull last week against Carolina, but before that game, they had been cruising with four straight 30-plus-point performances. As much as Rodgers has deserved credit for his stellar play this season, the improvements in the running game with Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams have made a large difference for this Packers offense. In addition to being just 32 yards shy of 1,000 yards on the ground, Jones also ranks third on the Packers with 41 catches despite missing two games earlier this season due to injury. When it comes to receiving threats, though, no one of the roster rivals Devante Adams, who has twice as many catches as the second-leading receiver and has caught 14 touchdowns as well. The connection between Rodgers and Adams has been electric, but Rodgers also utilizes tight end Robert Tonyan extraordinarily well in a breakout season for Tonyan. The challenge will be how the Packers deal with Henry and the Titans rushing attack, a sore spot in past playoff failures in recent years.

New Jersey online sports betting sites have set the over/under on this game at 56.5 points, projecting a high-scoring game between two offenses that have scored a lot in recent weeks. But I think the sportsbooks missed the mark here actually and not giving enough credit to the Packers defense. That unit has allowed 24 or fewer points in its last four games and allowed 28 or more points just twice in the last nine games. Green Bay will be ready to handle Henry and they won’t let him run all over them and instead force him to earn those yards. The Packers offense is explosive, but it lacks major weapons outside of Adams and Tonyan, so it is easier to slow down. I think Tennessee’s defense will struggle with the Packers, but I think the line is set a bit too high for this game. I’m going to bet under 51.5 total points at +155 odds in a low-scoring game than many expect.

Packers to win

The Packers are three-point favorites in this game on the NFL betting sites in New Jersey, which I think is pretty fair considering the circumstances. I fully expect the Titans to use Henry in order to control the clock and keep Rodgers and the Packers offense off the field as much as possible. If Tennessee can limit possessions then it will help keep them in the game and not force this into having to match Green Bay score for score. However, we saw last week how the Packers dealt with a close game, and Green Bay seemed unfazed by relying on its improved defense to win games. The Packers actually rank eighth in total defense this year, including 11th in rushing defense and ninth against the pass. Rodgers will pick apart this Titans defense and the Packers defense will do the work to win this game. I think this game will be similar to last week’s Packers game, and I’ll bet Green Bay laying 7.5 points at +170 odds.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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