Titans vs. Ravens Betting Predictions

Titans vs Ravens NFL Wild Card
Tennessee vs. Baltimore, NFL Betting Predictions, Wild Card Game, January 10

A last-second field goal in Week 17 lifted the Tennessee Titans to the divisional crown and a chance to host the playoff rematch with the Baltimore Ravens. Tennessee upset Baltimore in last year’s divisional round, spoiling Lamar Jackson’s MVP season. The Ravens enter this matchup having won five straight games since COVID-19 ran rampant through the team, and seem poised to continue that hot streak in the postseason. Yet they will have to deal with Derrick Henry and the Titans offense, which might be too tough for this Ravens team to overcome.

Titans vs. Ravens Betting Odds

There is a lot to like about the way Baltimore finished the season in December and January. In their five wins to close the season and secure a playoff berth, Baltimore ran for at least 230 yards four times. Jackson, J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards ran behind an offensive line that overpowered people at the line of scrimmage and made it easier for the Ravens to move the ball. Sure, it wasn’t the greatest teams on the opposite side of the field, but the Ravens handled their business and protected Jackson from having to throw the ball too often. Baltimore only threw for 200 yards once in its final five games as it kept the ground-and-pound attack going, so I am curious to see what Baltimore will do if it needs to pass in this game. Meanwhile, the defense was stout as always while playing three of the five worst offenses in the NFL. Now that Baltimore is healthy, it stands a better chance at slowing down Derrick Henry, but will it leave enough protection for the Ravens to cover the Titans underrated receivers?

Tennessee is certainly fortunate to be the AFC South champions given how poor its defense played in the final two weeks of the season. In fairness to the Titans, most of their issues defensively were against the pass and many of the 234 rushing yards they allowed to Green Bay came in the second half of a lopsided game. The Ravens do not pass the ball very much – or arguably very well – so the Titans will be focusing on slowing down the running game. Over its last 13 games, the Titans allowed 130 yards rushing to just two teams – Green Bay and Indianapolis – including holding Baltimore to 129 rushing yards on 33 attempts when the two teams met in November. So it is a bit misleading to say that the Titans rank 19th against the run because those numbers are skewed by two or three really poor games. Instead, we should focus on Henry and the Titans rushing attack, which ranked second in the league this year. Henry led the league with more than 2,000 rushing yards with 10 100-yard games, including three 200-yard performances. He ran for 133 yards and a score in the season’s earlier meeting, and Henry’s mere presence opens the door for Ryan Tannehill to test teams vertically with A.J. Brown and Corey Davis, who combined for more than 130 catches and more than 2,000 yards receiving for the Titans.

When these two teams met in November, they combined for 54 points in that overtime victory for Tennessee. Naturally, the football betting sites set the over/under on this game at 54.5 points, basically convincing themselves that a similar point total is likely. However, what they didn’t take into account is how well both of these offenses have played and the holes in each team’s defense. The Titans have scored 30 points in six of their last seven games dating back to that 30-24 win over Baltimore, while the Ravens have scored at least 30 points in four of their last five games. Both of these teams love to run the football and both of them do it really well, so it will be a challenge for defenses to stop each other. Tennessee’s defense has been a sieve recently while Baltimore has been fortunate enough to not be challenged much by a weak closing slate. I think this game will feature plenty of points with two talented offenses, so I’m betting on the over 60.5 total points at +175 odds as part of my NFL wild card picks for this game.

Titans to win

I have a major problem with Baltimore being a three-point favorite on the road against Tennessee at the NFL betting sites. The Ravens are on a roll with five straight wins, but four of those victories came against teams with six wins or fewer. Baltimore has beaten the teams it should have beaten, and did so impressively, but did little to convince me the Ravens can win in the playoffs. Cleveland put a good scare into the Ravens and the Titans offense reminds me a lot of the Browns offense that put up 42 on this Baltimore defense. Tennessee has a passing game that the Ravens lack and they have the best running back in the league – Derrick Henry – in the backfield. I understand the excitement about this Ravens offense with these NFL wild card odds, but Baltimore needs to prove it in the playoffs with Lamar Jackson. I like this scrappy Tennessee team to win outright at +138 odds, but I also will bet the Titans laying 3.5 points at +240 odds at the legal sports betting sites in New Jersey.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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