Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars: Free Picks, Odds & Predictions

Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars
Vegas vs Dallas, Rogers Place

The Vegas Golden Knights and Dallas Stars are the underdogs in the Western Conference’s round-robin for playoffs seeding. Vegas won the Pacific Division with 86 points in 71 games while the Stars eked out the final top-four spot on points percentage with 82 points in 69 contests. The two teams face off Monday night for an important two points with games against the conference heavyweights still to come before the seeding is finalized.

Free Picks

We’re getting odd right off the bat by picking a defenseman to score the first goal of this game. Vegas didn’t have any goal scorer in form when the season was halted, but the closest one they had was Shea Theodore. The defenseman scored in five of the Golden Knights’ final eight games. Considering it’ll take some deflections and screens to beat Ben Bishop, picking a defenseman isn’t a bad idea.

SHEA THEODORE TO SCORE FIRST (+2200)

The standard over/under for NHL games is 5.5, which is where the NHL betting sites in New Jersey have placed it for this game. However, Dallas struggled to score goals this season with just 178 and finished 29th out of 31 teams in that regard. The Stars did concede the second-fewest, however, and Vegas has a strong goalie in Marc-Andre Fleury, so goals will be at a premium in this one like a good NHL playoffs game.

UNDER 4.5 GOALS (+205)

The Golden Knights averaged the most shots per game in the NHL this year and also conceded the third-fewest. They’ll be able to find a goal or two based on the volume of shots they’ll throw at Bishop, and force the offensively-challenged Stars to capitalize on the few chances they’ll be afforded. That’s a recipe for a multi-goal victory, which brings the puckline into play for this game, and the value is there to take Vegas laying the goal and a half.

VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS TO WIN -1.5 (+230)

Best Odds

Vegas Dallas
888Sport
-130 +108
Sugar House
-130 +108
FanDuel
-130 +110

Statistics

Head to Head

The two teams split the first two meetings in the regular season, both of which happened to be played in Dallas. The Stars won the first meeting 4-2 in November and the Golden Knights triumphed 3-2 in overtime the following month.

Stats

  • Vegas is 6-2-0 all-time against the Stars and have a 2-3-0 record in Edmonton. Dallas is 3-2-1 in its history at Rogers Place, including a 5-4 overtime win this year.
  • Dallas is only team among the 24 that returned to the two hub cities without two 40-point scorers on the roster.
  • The Golden Knights won 15 of 22 games under Peter DeBoer since he replaced Gerard Gallant as coach in January.

Our Prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars

Vegas Golden Knights to win

The Stars were in tailspin when the season was paused due to the pandemic, and time off will do little to actually solve Dallas’ woes. Vegas has all the tools to make yet another long run in the postseason, and that will start with a big win over the Stars on Monday.

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Josh Walfish is an award-winning journalist who has been covering college and professional sports in the United States. He holds a journalism degree from Northwestern University and his work has appeared in the Miami Herald, Chicago Sun-Times and Providence Journal. He most recently chronicled the UMass hockey teams rise to prominence over the last two years for the local newspaper

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