Randy Brown vs Alex Oliveira Betting Predictions for UFC Fight Night 186

Randy Brown vs Alex Oliveira UFC
Randy Brown vs Alex Oliveira Betting Predictions for UFC Fight Night 186

Randy Brown vs Alex Oliveira is the sole welterweight matchup on the main card for UFC Fight Night 186. Brown has opened as the betting favorite, as Oliveira has struggled recently. Both fighters are looking to bounce back after losing their previous match, but Brown has a considerable size and reach advantage over Oliveira, which should help propel him to victory.

Tale of the Tape

Randy Brown
Fighter
Alex Oliveira
Jamaica
Country
Brazil
30
Age
33
6’3”
Height
5’11”
78”
Reach
76”
12-4
Professional Record
22-9-1

Randy Brown vs Alex Oliveira Betting Odds

The welterweight division will be making an appearance when Randy Brown vs Alex Oliveira square off this Saturday.

Both fighters have been inconsistent so far in the UFC, with each fighter coming off a defeat.

Randy Brown, aka “Rudeboy,” was last seen losing to Vicente Luque in the second round back on August 1, 2020. Before that, though, Brown was riding a nice little win streak, beating Bryan Barberena and Warlley Alves in back-to-back fights.

UFC predictions and the best MMA betting sites favor Rudeboy, but it’s concerning that he only fought once last year.

Oliveira is in a similar boat in terms of form, but he was much more active in 2020, where he fought three times. He won his fights against Max Griffin and peter Sobotta before losing to Shavkat Rakhmonov in a first-round submission in October.

The top sports bettings sites in NJ and the NJ online sports review have moneyline odds ready for this welterweight bout, and it looks like oddsmakers think it’ll be a close match, but they’re giving the nod to Brown.

Brown’s best odds are over at FanDuel, where he’s listed at -158, while the best odds for “Cowboy” Oliveira are listed at +140 at BetMGM.

Oliveira has better striking accuracy than Brown but lands less of them per minute at 2.8 as opposed to Oliveira, who 3.67 strikes per minute. Oliveira is more of a floor technician, while Brown is a superior striker who will be looking for the early finish.

5 Fight W/L Record – Randy Brown

Opponent
Odds to Win
W/L
Winner by
Round
Vicente Luque
+150
L
KO/TKO
2
Warlley Alves
-105
W
Submission
2
Bryan Barberena
+160
W
KO/TKO
3
Niko Price
-135
L
KO/TKO
2
Mickey Gall
-111
W
Unanimous Decision
3

5 Fight W/L Record – Alex Oliveira

Opponent
Odds to Win
W/L
Winner by
Round
Shavkat Rakhmonov
+110
L
Submission
1
Peter Sobotta
-139
W
Unanimous Decision
3
Max Griffin
-165
W
Split Decision
3
Nicolas Dalby
-155
L
Unanimous Decision
3
Mike Perry
-189
L
Unanimous Decision
3

My Prediction for Randy Brown vs Alex Oliveira

Oliveira will have to withstand Brown’s strikes and wait for an opportunity to take him down to the floor. If that happens, Cowboy has a good chance to take out Rudeboy via submission, but I think Brown will put a stop to the fight before it gets to that.

My prediction: Brown wins by KO/TKO in the second round.

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Kevin is a freelance writer with a passion for sports who loves creating quality content for online sports bettors and casual fans. He regularly produces content covering a variety of sports leagues, his favorites being the NFL and NBA. A Toronto-native, he roots for the Raptors, but he's really more of a Celtics fan. You can visit him online at www.lunawrites.com

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