The main card of UFC Vegas 25 features a bantamweight clash between Merab Dvalishvili vs Cody Stamann. Stamann’s looking to bounce back following a defeat in his last match, while Dvalishvili has opened as the betting favorite. Dvalishvili hasn’t lost since 2018, and although his previous five victories have come by decision, he’s the smart pick here.
The bantamweight division will bring us Merab Dvalishvili vs Cody Stamann this Saturday, May 1. Dvalishvili, dubbed “The Machine,” is the betting favorite, and although there isn’t outstanding betting value if you bank on him, MMA predictions and the best UFC betting sites say that he’s the way to go. What’s noteworthy about this fight is that these fighters have different fighting styles, so it’ll be interesting to see how they approach it. Stamann is more of a grounded striker, while Dvalishvili’s strengths lie within his grappling abilities. Stamann’s takedown defense is solid, however, so I don’t think that he’ll find an opening vulnerable to force him into submission. Sometimes with other fights that have similar betting lines, I’m intrigued by the betting value that can be found with the underdog, but for this fight, I can’t justify going against Dvalishvili, who’s been as consistent as they come. Sure, he isn’t knocking out his opponents, but he’s still getting the job done. Dvalishvili was last seen claiming a victory over John Dodson on August 15, 2020. It’s been a while, but that victory brought his current winning streak to five matches. Borgata, one of the best online sports betting sites in NJ, has him listed at -225 odds on the money line. If you want to take a shot with Stamann, you’ll get decent value on Fanduel, where they’ve got him at +205 on the moneyline. “The Spartan” has been up-and-down lately, which is why I’m banking on The Machine instead, but he’s still a solid high risk/high reward pick. My only gripe with Dvalishvili this weekend is that the current market only allows for money line bets, where there isn’t great value for him. So, keep an eye on the online sportsbook review NJ for updated odds and markets.
Dvalishvili combines strong grappling skills with adequate striking. Stamann is definitely more dangerous on his toes, so expect The Machine to wear out The Spartan both standing and on the mat. My prediction: Dvalishvili wins by unanimous decision.
