Jack Hermansson vs Kevin Gastelum Betting Predictions for UFC 173

Jack Hermansson vs Kelvin Gastelum UFC Fight Night 173
Jack Hermansson vs Kevin Gastelum Betting Predictions for UFC 173

Fight Island will host its third event in a week on July 18th for UFC Fight Night Figueiredo vs Benavidez 2. The main card starts at 8 PM ET including a Middleweight bout between Jack Hermansson and Kelvin Gastelum. This is close to an even money fight with bookies favoring Gastelum slightly. Find out where to find value in our Jack Hermansson vs Kevin Gastelum betting prediction for UFC Fight Night 173

Tale of the Tape

Jack Hermansson

Fighter

Kelvin Gastelum

Sweden

Country

USA

32

Age

28

6’1”

Height

5’9”

77.5 in

Reach

71.5 in

20-5-0

Professional Record

15-5-1

Jack Hermansson vs Kevin Gastelum Betting Odds

Most online bookmakers it seems is listing Gastelum as a slight favorite which is more consistent with his odds history than his form. I’ve never been high on Gastelum and I don’t understand how he was the betting favorite in four of his last five fights, three of which he lost. Online bookmakers such as 888sport, FanDuel, and SugarHouse all list Hermansson at even money while Gastelum is listed at -125 at 888sport and SugarHouse while Fanduel lists him at -118.

5 Fight W/L Record - Jack Hermansson

Opponent
Odds to Win
W/L
Winner by
Round

Thales Leites

-161

W
TKO
3

Gerald Meerschaert

-175

W

Submission

1

David Branch

-170

W

Submission

1

Ronaldo Souza

+165

W
UD
5

Jared Connonier

-303

L
TKO
2

5 Fight W/L Record - Kelvin Gastelum

Opponent
Odds to Win
W/L
Winner by
Round

Chris Weirdman

-180

L

Submission

3

Michael Bisping

-330

W

KO

1

Ronaldo Souza

-115

W
SD
3

Israel Adesanya

+145

L
UD
5

Darren Till

-230

L
SD
3

My Prediction For Jack Hermansson vs Kevin Gastelum

Gastelum is a heavy hitter and prefers striking despite having a black belt in BJJ. He has decent KO power and has KOed  six opponents, but it’s not elite. Hermansson will also have a six inch reach advantage, a situation that has troubled Gastelum in the past. Hermansson is coming off a loss himself after being stopped by Jarred Connonier who I think has stronger punching power than Gastelum.

Before that loss, Hermansson was on a four fight win streak, with three fights ending early. He had back to back submission wins even though he was initially known for his power with 11 career KOs. There’s several paths to victory here for Hermansson and I think he will be able to maximize the six-inch reach advantage and make it yet another tough day in the UFC for Gastelum.

I see Hermansson knocking out Gastelum because Kelvin would want to stay on the feet and strike. Look for a win by KO option from your favorite online bookmaker.

Where to Bet on Jack Hermansson vs Kevin Gastelum in NJ

Betting Site
Bonus
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Review
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888Sport
$500 Free Bet
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Sugar House Sportsbook
100% Up to $250
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FanDuel
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Borgata Sports
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BetMGM Sports
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Caesars Sportsbook
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Rex spent most of his life living in different countries which allowed him to learn a wide-range of sports. From mainstream leagues like the NBA, to more region-specific sports such as Australian Rules Football, he’s followed them all. He is a regular producer of Sports content and was also a Senior Contributor for UK sports news outlet Givemesport.com

All Reviews by Rex Pascual

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