Josh Emmett vs Shane Burgos Betting Predictions

Josh Emmett vs Shane Burgos UFC
Josh Emmett vs Shane Burgos, UFC on ESPN 11, UFC APEX

The deserts of Las Vegas, Nevada play hosts once again as the UFC returns to action in the UFC Apex Center for UFC on ESPN 11 on June 20th with the prelims starting at 5 PM ET and the main card at 8 PM ET. This has performance bonus written all over it regardless of who comes out on top. Find out where the smart bet is in this tight clash between two talented featherweights in our Josh Emmett vs Shane Burgos betting prediction for UFC Fight Night.

Fighter Analysis – Tale of the Tape

Josh Emmett
Fighter
Shane Burgos
USA
Country
USA
35
Age
29
5’6.5” (193 cm)
Height
5’11”
70”
Reach
75.5”
13-2-0
Professional Record
13-1-0

Josh Emmett vs Shane Burgos Betting Odds

Most bookies are favoring Burgos in this matchup, while I tend to agree, I wouldn’t consider him a heavy favorite here. 888sport and Fanduel both lists Burgos as the slight favorite at-137 and -136 respectively while 888sport lists Emmett at +110 and Fanduel has him at +116.

Read more of our Josh Emmett vs Shane Burgos betting prediction for UFC on ESPN 11 to find out what the smart bet for this fight is.

Josh Emmett Odds History

Date & Opponent
Opening/ Closing
Result
10/2017 v Felipe Arantes
-270 / -340
W
12/2017 v Ricardo Lamas
+160/ +210
W
02/2018 v Jeremy Stephens
-110 / +100
L
03/2019 v Michael Johnson
-140 / -105
W
07/2019 v Mirsad Bektic
+145 / +124
W

Shane Burgos Odds History

Date & Opponent
Opening/ Closing
Result
07/2017 v Godogredo Pepey
-335 / -800
W
01/2018 v Calvin Kattar
-265/ -250
L
11/2018 v Kurt Holobaugh
-300 / -450
W
05/2019 v Cub Swanson
+135/ -185
W
11/2019 v Makwan Amirkhani
-185/ -250
W

Big credit goes to the UFC here for this clever piece of matchmaking. No matter how you bet, this bout has the potential to be a nasty back-and-forth. The two men should be aware that they are potentially one impressive victory away from the number one contender spot. Which excitingly sets us up for a great firework show when these two men face each other.

Both fighters are coming off mini winning streaks, with Emmett coming off back-to-back wins and Burgos on a three-match winning streak. Personally, I think Burgos’ streak is more impressive as it includes names like featherweight mainstay Cub Swanson, while Emmett defeated fighters who are perhaps in the downturn of their careers like Michael Johnson.

Burgos has also shown in his career that he can finish a fight either standing up or on the ground, a trait that I find is absent in Emmett.

In terms of punching power, Emmett has legit knockout power and can (and has) knockout opponents with one punch. Having said that, I find Burgos to still be the more technical and more skilled striker. His boxing is at an elite level and he has shown he knows how to properly utilize this weapon in his previous fights.

My Prediction for Josh Emmett vs Shane Burgos

The safe bet here is a win for Burgos. It will be an exciting fight with both fighters expected to really go for it. However, with a five inch reach advantage expect Burgos to keep Emmett’s lethal punching power at bay. Burgos is also entering the prime of his sporting career at age 29 while Emmett is six years his senior.

At that age, Emmet may need time to settle into the fight especially after a considerable lay off. In the time that it takes Emmett to warm up the damage may have already be done by Burgos’ elite boxing. At this point, Emmett might rely on his superb wrestling and try to take the fight to the mat, where I think Burgos can finish him with a sub.

Besides his one-punch knockout power which is uncommon for the division, I struggle to find other paths to victory for Emmett. A quick study meanwhile of Burgos’s career results shows a mixture of submissions and knockouts. With a five-inch reach disadvantage I’m not sure Emmett will get close enough to land one of his signature bombs.

My prediction for the fight is a statement win for Burgos. I wouldn’t bet big though as Josh Emmett’s knockout power is the real deal and can erase all the hard work that Burgos puts in with one punch. Still, I see Emmett tapping out in the 2nd round in a sort of passing of the torch moment.

More UFC Betting Tips & PredictionsSee more

Paul Craig vs Gadzhimurad Antigulov Predictions for UFC Event 174

Who comes out on top of this battle of the submission specialists? Find out in our Paul Craig vs Gadzhimurad Antigulov Betting Prediction for UFC Fight Night 174. Live from Yas Island, Abu Dhabi 8 PM ET July 25.

Who comes out on top of this battle of the submission specialists? Find out in our Paul Craig vs Gadzhimurad Antigulov Betting Prediction for UFC Fight Night 174. Live from Yas Island, Abu Dhabi 8 PM ET July 25.

Mauricio Rua vs Antonio Rogerio Nogueira UFC Fight Night 174

Mauricio Rua vs Antonio Noguerira Betting Predictions for UFC 174

Take back the clock as we are in for a nostalic matchup in Mauricio Rua vs Antonio Nogueira. The main card starts at 8 PM ET on July 25 from Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, UAE. Check out our Mauricio Rua vs Antonio Nogueira Betting Predictions for UFC FIght Night 174

Take back the clock as we are in for a nostalic matchup in Mauricio Rua vs Antonio Nogueira. The main card starts at 8 PM ET on July 25 from Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, UAE. Check out our Mauricio Rua vs Antonio Nogueira Betting Predictions for UFC FIght Night 174

Fabricio Werdum vs Alexander Gustafsson UFC Fight Night 174

Fabricio Werdum vs Alexander Gustafsson Betting Predictions for UFC 174

The Swede is back from retirement but this time in the Heavyweight division. Find out if has what it takes to make it with the big boys in our Fabricio Werdum vs Alexander Gustafsson Betting Prediction for UFC Fight Night 174

The Swede is back from retirement but this time in the Heavyweight division. Find out if has what it takes to make it with the big boys in our Fabricio Werdum vs Alexander Gustafsson Betting Prediction for UFC Fight Night 174

Robert Whittaker vs Darren Till UFC Fight Night 174

Robert Whittaker vs Darren Till Betting Predictions for UFC 174

Check out our betting preview including tips and odds history for this exciting main event in our Robert Whittaker vs Darren Till Betting Predictions for UFC Fight Night 174 Live From Abu Dhabi with the main card starting at 8 PM on July 25.

Check out our betting preview including tips and odds history for this exciting main event in our Robert Whittaker vs Darren Till Betting Predictions for UFC Fight Night 174 Live From Abu Dhabi with the main card starting at 8 PM on July 25.

Rex spent most of his life living in different countries which allowed him to learn a wide-range of sports. From mainstream leagues like the NBA, to more region-specific sports such as Australian Rules Football, he’s followed them all. He is a regular producer of Sports content and was also a Senior Contributor for UK sports news outlet Givemesport.com

All Reviews by Rex Pascual

BACK TO TOP