Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Betting Predictions for UFC 251

Kamaru Usman vs Gilbert Burns UFC 251
Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal betting predictions for UFC 251

Fight Island is finally a reality as the Ultimate Fighting Championship gets ready for its much awaited event UFC 251: Usman vs Masvidal. UFC 251 will take place on Yas Island off the coast of Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The main card is scheduled to start at 10 PM ET on July 11, 2020. Fight fans are salivating over this main event with “Gamebred” stepping into the title fight on six days’ notice to take on the “Nigerian Nightmare”. The odds are favoring Usman but Masvidal could be the one fighter capable of pulling off such a dramatic upset. Find out how to bet in our Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Betting Predictions for UFC 251.

Tale of the Tape

Kamaru Usman

Fighter
Jorge Masvidal

Nigeria/USA

Country
USA
33
Age
35

6’0”

Height

5’11”

76 in.

Reach

74 in.

16-1-0

Professional Record

35-13-0

Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Betting Odds

It wouldn’t be the UFC if it there were no late last-minute dramas as Jorge Masvidal steps in for Gilbert Burns who tested for positive for COVID-19 as part of the UFC’s strict medical protocols. It is widely understood that Masvidal was the first-choice of the UFC to headline Fight Island before contract talks with Masvidal broke down and a fight with Burns was then booked.

Masvidal accepted the fight with 6 days’ notice which is predictably causing the odds to swing against him among most operators.

It is understandable to have Usman as the favorite but with operators like Fanduel having Usman at odds like -300, I don’t feel that strongly about a bet on Usman winning.  Other online bookmakers such as Sugarhouse and 888sport have Usman at a more modest -265 and -263 respectively which are more enticing. Explore our site to find more about legal sports betting in NJ.

There’s also plenty of value in a Masvidal bet especially if combined with other bets. A $100 parlay bet on 888sport for Masvidal and the underdog of the Alexander Volkanovsi vs Max Halloway co-main event (Holloway +185) will see returns of $883.50. You can limit your losses if Masvidal loses by placing a single bet on an Usman victory.

Another safe bet that is worth looking into is for the fight not go the distance. Find out more below in my prediction to find out why.

5 Fight W/L Record - Kamaru Usman

Opponent
Odds to Win
W/L
Winner by
Round

Emil Weber Meek

-850

W
UD
3

Damian Maia

-588
W
UD
5

Rafael Dos Santos

-350

W
UD
5

Tyrone Woodley

+138

W
UD
5

Colby Covington

-220

W
TKO
5

5 Fight W/L Record - Jorge Masvidal

Opponent
Odds to Win
W/L
Winner by
Round

Demian Maia

-105

L

Split Decision

3

Stephen Thompson

+135

L
UD
3

Darren Till

+175

W
KO
2

Ben Askren

+130

W
KO
1

Nate Diaz

-170

W

Doctor stoppage

3

My Prediction For Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal

Usman is undoubtedly a worthy champion having gone unbeaten in his entire UFC career but the Welterweight champion was preparing for a totally different fight before Burns pulled out. This is a significant development, just think Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje and how that fight played out. Usman could be similarly unprepared for the type of fight Masvidal will bring.

Burns was a more of a grappler than a striker and with Masvidal you are getting an elite striker who his stand-up as his main weapon. Usman also had a 5-inch reach advantage over Burns, something he wont enjoy against Masvidal who he only has an inch advantage over.

Still, the short notice does present some very real obstacles for Masvidal. His last fight came against Nate Diaz in November 2019, and despite claiming to be constantly training, it’s pretty hard to imagine him having the same peak cardio that a regular fight camp can give. He also had to travel from the USA to the United Arab Emirates, which is not ideal given its already fight week.

That’s part of the reason why I don’t think this fight will go the distance. In my opinion, For Masvidal to win he needs to win in the earlier rounds as there’s a big chance he will start fading in the championship rounds. I see Usman taking advantage and winning by TKO in the championship rounds if the fight gets there. Either way, this fight should not go to the scorecards.

Where to Bet on Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal in NJ

Betting Site
Bonus
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Review
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888Sport
$500 Free Bet
$500 Free Bet
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Sugar House Sportsbook
100% Up to $250
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FanDuel
Get A Risk Free Bet up to $500
Get A Risk Free Bet up to $500
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William Hill Sportsbook
Get up to $500 Free Bet
Get up to $500 Free Bet
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Borgata Sports
Risk Free First Bet up to $250
Risk Free First Bet up to $250
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BetMGM Sports
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Rex spent most of his life living in different countries which allowed him to learn a wide-range of sports. From mainstream leagues like the NBA, to more region-specific sports such as Australian Rules Football, he’s followed them all. He is a regular producer of Sports content and was also a Senior Contributor for UK sports news outlet Givemesport.com

All Reviews by Rex Pascual

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