NFL Betting: How the Stefon Diggs Trade Changes the Landscape in the AFC

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Michael Savio
Football News


  • The Bills traded Diggs to the Texans for draft picks
  • Most sportsbooks now see the Texans as the third-best team in the AFC
  • Most sportsbooks now see the Texans as the third-best team in the AFC

The Houston Texans and Buffalo Bills stunned the NFL world by making a trade yesterday. The Bills agreed to send top wide receiver Stefon Diggs to the Texans for draft picks. The move signals a power shift in the AFC, as the Bills appear set to retool while the Texans prepare to contend. 

Below, we will share how our USA Legal Betting experts see the trade impacting the conference. We’ll provide the latest odds and insights to help you adjust your NFL futures betting strategy this offseason.

Odds to Win the AFC 

While the trade involves just one player, the impact will be felt across the league. Here are the latest odds to win the AFC Championship from some of the top betting sites in the industry. 


FanDuel Odds 

BetMGM Odds 

BetRivers Odds 

Kansas City Chiefs 




Baltimore Ravens 




Houston Texans 




Cincinnati Bengals 




Buffalo Bills 




Trade Impact for the Bills 

The loss of Diggs will have a major impact on the Bills offense. Josh Allen is a great quarterback, but Diggs was his only true playmaker to work with. The rest of his pass catchers are reliable, but none can match the production of the departed receiver.

If there is a silver lining for Buffalo, it’s that they were able to get a decent haul of draft picks. Diggs was not happy in Buffalo, so the ability to trade him for picks is a win-win for both sides. Those picks can be used to draft a young playmaking receiver, giving Allen another weapon for the foreseeable future.

The biggest risk for Buffalo is if they can rebuild the offense while Josh Allen is in his prime. The big quarterback takes a lot of hits, which will make injuries more prevalent as he ages. While a couple of top receivers in the 2024 draft can help long-term, it could take a few seasons to reach their full potential, causing them to miss their Super Bowl window with Josh Allen.

There is a chance the Bills decide against replacing Diggs through the draft, opting for a trade or free agency. That would be the quickest fix for the offense, but we’ll see who is available and willing to head to northern New York. 

Regardless of what they decide to do, you can count on New York sportsbooks seeing a big drop off in Bills bets this season. 

Trade Impact for the Texans 

The Texans were already having a great offseason, but this move puts them over the top. The team wasted no time building around CJ Stroud, adding Joe Mixon and Dalton Schultz before trading for Diggs. The team also added Danielle Hunter, one of the best pass rushers in football. Those are some massive additions, especially for a team with a budding superstar at quarterback.

Diggs gives Stroud a true playmaker on offense. He did great working with Nico Collins and Tank Dell last season, but Diggs is a major upgrade over both. The former Bill gives the Texans one of the deepest receiving corps in the league, which will overwhelm a lot of defenses.

As good as the Bills have been, Diggs has not had a lot of help. Now he’ll have another very good quarterback and talented young receivers who will force defenses to stop them. That should open things up more for Diggs, and we see it resulting in the best season of his already incredible career.