NFL 2023 | Week 4
The Lions have looked sharp through the first three weeks. Their pass attack is fantastic, and their run defense is elite, but their secondary has some issues. While they shut down a bad Atlanta pass attack last week, they looked terrible against Geno Smith and a Kelce-less Patrick Mahomes. Jordan Love isn’t that good, but he is good enough to take the open passing lanes that the Detroit secondary will give him.
The Packers needed an 18-0 fourth-quarter comeback to get a win last week, but this will be a different team in Week 4. The team confirmed that top receiver Christian Watson will be back, and Aaron Jones is expected to also. While Detroit’s run defense will make it hard for Jones on the ground, look for Love to throw to him out of the backfield, a strategy that worked well in Week 1.
Lions injury report
Packers injury report
No one has been better on offense than Miami. They became the fourth team to score 70 points in an NFL game last week and have now scored 130 points. We would like them to put up another impressive number against Buffalo. When Tua was healthy last season, they had no problem scoring on Buffalo both through the air and on the ground. They have that same offense this season but with the addition of another speedster in running back, De’Von Achane. Combine that with a defense filled with playmakers, and you get a Miami win.
The Bills have rebounded nicely since their embarrassing Week 1 loss, but it has come against soft competition. They faced the bad Raiders team and a Commanders squad that is still a question mark. While we all know about this Miami pass attack, their run game has been equally great. The Bills haven’t done well against the run, surrendering the fourth-most yards in the league. Look for them to struggle against Achane and Raheem Mostert in a home loss.
Dolphins injury report
Bills injury report
The Bucs lost on Monday night as they faced a fantastic Eagles defense. Things won’t get easier this week as they head to New Orleans to take on an elite Saints defense. However, the Tampa defense will catch a break as Derek Carr will likely be out. We saw them do well against the Eagles last week, and we think they can replicate it in Louisiana on Sunday.
The Saints suffered a heartbreaking loss by allowing 18 fourth-quarter points. The defense let their foot off the gas, giving Green Bay the opening they needed. In the process, they lost quarterback Derek Carr, meaning Jameis Winston will likely get the start on Sunday. While there is a chance he has a revenge game against his former team, this good Bucs defense will take advantage of him on Sunday.
Buccaneers injury report
Saints injury report
The Vikings are our favorite bet of the weekend, as they are far better than their record indicates. While the team has some issues, their pass attack is among the best in the league. They have been outdueled in their first three games, but that won’t happen against the Panthers this weekend. Look for the Cousins-Jefferson connection to put up huge numbers, leading to a lopsided win for Minnesota.
The Panthers actually looked better last week, thanks to an excellent performance from backup quarterback Andy Dalton. The veteran significantly boosted the Carolina pass attack, but he’ll head back to the bench as Bryce Young returns. The rookie hasn’t looked great early, especially when passing the ball. You need to be able to pass to take advantage of the Minnesota defense, but Carolina and Young just don’t have what it takes to do that.
Vikings injury report
Panthers injury report
The Raiders season has not gotten off to a great start. They haven’t looked good on either side of the ball, and that was on display last weekend in their loss to the Steelers. The Chargers are beatable, but you need to be able to pick their secondary apart through the air. Jimmy Garoppolo has Devante Adams but is not good enough to keep pace with Justin Herbert. Look for LA to clamp down on Adams, forcing Garoppolo to work without him while playing from behind.
The Chargers got a badly-needed win against the Vikings last week, but it was thanks to a bad turnover by the Vikings at the end of the game. There are still a lot of issues with the Chargers on defense, but the Raiders don’t have the talent to expose them. The LA defense may struggle, but we see Justin Herbert and Keenan Allen combining to tear apart the Vegas secondary en route to their second win.
Chargers injury report
Team injury report
The Cardinals had one of their biggest wins in recent memory last week. They beat a great Cowboys team 28-16, matching their point total from the week before. This offense has succeeded under Joshua Dobbs, but they will hit a speed bump this weekend in the form of the Niners. They are outmatched at every position, and their win against the Cowboys means San Francisco will be on upset alert. This game will be over quickly, leading to some easy bets.
The Niners are one of the best teams in the league. Their defense is once again elite, and quarterback Brock Purdy has silenced any doubts that last season was a fluke. They have scored 30 points in all three games thanks to Purdy and running back Christian McCaffrey. The veteran running back is playing like an MVP through the first three weeks, and we see him torching a vulnerable Cards run defense this weekend.
Cardinals injury report
49ers injury report
The Pats defense has been fantastic, but their offense is a mess. While Mac Jones has shown some flashes of what the Patriots hoped he would be, he has been inconsistent at best. We do think the Pats are better than many people believe, but they don’t have the offensive playmakers to overcome a defense like Dallas. That is especially true with Rhamondre Stevenson’s lousy start to the season, taking away what was supposed to be the offense's top weapon. Their defense should contain Dallas, but a lack of scoring will lead to a loss.
We are all over the Cowboys on Sunday. They are coming off an embarrassing loss, which put an end to the praise the team had been getting. That will lead them to avenge the loss this week by shutting down the Pats. Look for the Cowboys to use their speed and size on defense to make Mac Jones’ life miserable. While we aren’t sure how much the Dallas offense will do, we expect the defense to surrender no more than seven points.
Patriots injury report
Cowboys injury report
This Seattle offense has been back on track after stumbling out of the gates in Week 1. Geno Smith has been playing at a high level, and Kenneth Walker III is starting to settle in. Their defense isn’t great, but the offense has been good enough to cover that up over their last two games. They’ll be able to do so again this weekend against a Giants offense that has been limited to 12 or fewer points in two of their three games. Geno and the Seattle offense played well against the Giants last season, and we see them repeating that this year.
The Giants have one of the most challenging schedules of the season, making this an important game to win. While we saw this offense succeed against the Cardinals two weeks ago, that came with Saquon Barkley still healthy. He won’t be playing this weekend, taking away the team's best offensive weapon. As bad as Seattle’s defense is, the Giants don’t have the playmakers to keep up with the Seahawks’ fantastic offense.
Seahawks injury report
Giants injury report
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