NBA Expert Picks and Best Bets | May 30

05/29/2024
NBA
NBA Picks and Best Bets
NBA Best Bets 2023-2024

With a win in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals, the Minnesota Timberwolves managed to extend the series. While they still trail 3-1, they earned the right to go home and host Game 5 against the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. That means the US Legal Sports Betting team is back with three more expert picks for Game 5. Our picks include odds from three of the top betting apps. But you’re also free to explore any and all sportsbook promotions related to the NBA Playoffs that could give your bets a boost.

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Best Bet:

Mavericks +4.5 | -105 at bet365

Heading into Game 4, we thought that the Timberwolves were too good to get swept in this series. But that doesn’t mean they should be favorites in Game 5, even at home. Based on how this series has played out, the 4.5-point spread from bet365 seems a little big. Also, don’t forget to read out Bet365 review. After all, three of the four games in this series have been decided by five points or less, including two by three points or less.

Is Minnesota suddenly going to go from barely staying alive to winning by at least five points? That would be a substantial turnaround in this series. Even during the regular season, the T'Wolves were just 17-25-2 against the spread as home favorites, barely covering 40% of the time. It’s clear that Dallas has been the better team overall during this series, which is why we’re happy to take the Mavericks and the points.

Bet365 Sportsbook Logo
Mavericks +4.5 | -105 at bet365

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Best Bet:

Under 209.5 | -110 at BetMGM

Even though three of the four games in this series have hit the over, things seem to be trending toward a low-scoring affair in Game 5. Only once in four games has a team even reached 110 points in a game. As the series gets deeper, both teams are going to keep trying to raise their level of play defensively, leading to low-scoring games.

We saw that in Game 4 with a series-low total of 205 points. Granted, the over/under has dropped a little bit after sitting around 211 points for Game 4. But with the series getting tighter and the T’Wolves still playing with their back against the wall, we wouldn’t be surprised to see both teams struggle just to reach 100 points in Game 5.

Odds have been provided by BetMGM. Read our BetMGM review.

BetMGM Sportsbook
Under 209.5 | -110 at BetMGM

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Best Bet:

Luka Doncic Triple Double | +295 at BetRivers

Needless to say, this isn’t an ordinary bet. However, we love the odds we’re getting from BetRivers to see Doncic record a triple-double. Make sure you read our BetRivers sportsbook review. These odds are quite lucrative considering Doncic has already recorded two triple-doubles in the first four games of this series. In fact, he has six triple-doubles in his 16 playoff games thus far.

Doncic is coming off a triple-double in Game 4 and also had one in Game 2, which was the last game in Minnesota. He’s been playing more than enough minutes to reach double digits in both rebounding and assists. It’s just a matter of his efficiency in both categories. Surely, Doncic and the Mavs know that the longer this series goes on, the more the pressure shifts to them. That should inspire Doncic to give his all in Game 5 to end the series now, which is why we like his chances to record another triple-double.

BetRivers
Luka Doncic Triple Double | +295 at BetRivers

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