NFL Betting: Why We are Still Betting on The Bills to Make the 2023 NFL Playoffs

Michael Savio pic
Michael Savio


  • The Bills record sits at 6-6 heading into their Week 13 bye
  • Josh Allen lead the NFL in both interceptions and pass touchdowns
  • Buffalo has the Chiefs, Cowboys, and Dolphins remaining on the schedule

Things went south quickly for the Bills this season, leading to several NFL betting sites dropping their price to make the postseason. They now sit a game out of an AFC Wildcard spot heading into their bye week as they attempt to save their season over their final five games.

While many bettors are bailing on the Bills, we remain confident that they will still be playing come playoff time. Below, we will share why we are rushing to US sportsbooks to wager on Buffalo to make the 2023 NFL playoffs.

Odds for The Bills to Make the Playoffs



FanDuel Sportsbook


BetMGM Sportsbook


BetRivers Sportsbook


As you can see by the price, bookmakers do not believe the Bills will be returning to the postseason. BetMGM is currently offering the best price at +375, making it the sportsbooks we’ll be using to lock this bet in.

Where the Bills Currently Stand

The Bills looked like a favorite to win the Super Bowl after the first four weeks, going 3-1 after an impressive blowout of the Dolphins. However, things have fallen apart since then. The team has gone 3-5 since them, including a 37-34 overtime loss to the Eagles on Sunday. Buffalo has lost three of their last four games, with a blowout of the Jets serving as their lone win during that span.

Many people expected the Bills’ defense to struggle after losing cornerback Tre’Davious White for the season, but that hasn’t been the case. Instead, the offense has been the problem. Josh Allen has struggled to find consistency, and turnovers have been a big reason why. He leads the league in interceptions (13) and has turned the ball over 16 times through 12 games.

While the turnovers are costing the Bills some games, Allen also leads the league in touchdowns. He has a league-best 24 passing touchdowns to go with nine rushing. He is also coming off back-to-back MVP-level performances against good defenses in the Jets and Eagles where he turned the ball over twice in those games but scored seven total touchdowns.

While the defense did take a step back without White on the field, they are still been putting the team in a position to win most weeks. They rank tenth in the league in yards allowed (319.9 YDS/G) and sixth in opponent scoring (18.9 PTS/G).

The Bills currently sit one game out of an AFC Wildcard spot and are 2.5 back from Miami in the AFC East.

Why We Like the Bills to Make the Postseason

While the Bills lost on Sunday, that came against an Eagles team with the best record in the league. Buffalo was on the brink of an upset on the road but lost in OT. They have now looked like their old selves in two straight games as they head into a Week 13 bye. That will give them a chance to regroup ahead of their final five games.

While the Bills struggles are partly due to their current price to make the playoffs, their remaining schedule is also a factor. They have the Chiefs, Cowboys, and Dolphins remaining on the schedule. While that is scaring many bettors away, we see a path for the Bills.

Their first challenge will come on the road against the Chiefs. While Kansas City is 8-3, they have regressed a bit over the last month. Their defense is elite, but the offense has struggled due to the team’s poor receiving corps. That is allowing opponents to key in on Travis Kelce, limiting the Chiefs’ most dangerous weapon.

Next up will be the Cowboys, but that game will be at home. As great as Dallas has looked, they have yet to beat a team that currently owns a .500 record or above. Now they will head north to a freezing-cold Buffalo, which will provide the Bills with a major homefield advantage.

Buffalo will close the season by hosting a Dolphins team that will likely have the division secured, which could see them limit or rest their stars. Even if they do play their normal starters, the league-best Miami pass attack will be slowed by the cold weather, meaning the Bills could be the favorite.

Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee, Wisconsin. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid. As an adult, Michael started picking games for a small sports betting site and has built it into a career. His experience allows him to provide tips and information to help other bettors improve their game. Michael cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams, the Arizona State Sun Devils (his alma mater), and the Ottawa Senators. He specializes in baseball betting but has extensive experience in football, basketball, and hockey. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children or hiking and enjoying the outdoors.