Tennis Betting: A Betting Preview of Friday’s 2023 Men’s Wimbledon Semi-Finals

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Michael Savio
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  • Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic, Carlos Alcaraz, and Daniil Medvedev have reached the semi-finals
  • Novak Djokovic (-550) and Carlos Alcaraz (-275) as the favorites to win
  • Djokovic is the tournament’s defending champion

Wednesday brought a close to the 2023 Wimbledon Men's Quarter-finals, setting up what should be a thrilling semi-final round on Friday. We are breaking down both matchups from a betting perspective to help boost your profits by betting on Tennis' most prominent event. We will share the odds according to the BetMGM sportsbook, results from previous matchups, and what to look for to give you all the information you need before making your picks. 

If you are looking for help betting on Wimbledon this weekend, you have come to the right place.

(8) Jannik Sinner (+400) vs (2) Novak Djokovic (-550)

This is a classic David and Goliath matchup as we have 21-year-old Jannik Sinner taking on 36-year-old legend Novak Djokovic. Sinner is the youngest player to win five titles since Djokovic accomplished the feat in 2007. The Italian was eliminated by Djokovic in five sets in the 2022 Wimbledon quarter-finals, but he stunned many by taking the first two sets. That limited success will give him confidence heading into Friday's matchup, as will his impressive play so far at the tournament. Sinner has had a more impressive run this year, making him a very tempting bet to take down Djokovic on Friday. 

Despite his age, Novak Djokovic has shown no signs of slowing down and US sportsbooks see him as a massive favorite to reach the Finals. He is the second-ranked player in the world and will be looking to win Wimbledon for the fifth straight year. The Serbian legend will make his forty-sixth Grand Slam semi-final appearance, tying a mark set by former rival Roger Federer. Djokovic is still the better player in this matchup, and he will have learned from the scare that Sinner gave him last year. He also now has some extra motivation to reach the Final for a rematch with top-ranked Carlos Alcaraz, whose dad was caught filming the 36-year-old during a practice session. We have seen what a vengeful Djokovic is capable of, and Sinner may have a front-row see to it on Friday.

(2) Carlos Alcaraz (-275) vs (3) Daniil Medvedev (+220)

Carolos Alcaraz is the top-ranked player in the world at just 20 years old. The Spaniard had a breakout campaign in 2022 and has only improved this year. Alcaraz has five titles and a 40-4 record in 2023, surpassing even Djokovic. The young superstar has looked fantastic during this Wimbledon run, especially in his quarter-final matchup, where he dominated (6) Holger Rune. The match was expected to be challenging, but Alcaraz put on a clinic to eliminate Rune in three sets. While tennis fans are already salivating over a Finals matchup with Djokovic, he will get by third-ranked Daniil Medvedev first. While he beat Medvedev earlier this year, it came on a hard court. These two last met on grass at the 2021 Wimbledon Championship, with Medvedev dominating the young Alcaraz in three sets. While the world's top-ranked player was young then, Medvedev will still present a massive challenge on Monday. 

Daniil Medvedev was cruising through this year's Wimbledon Championship but ran into trouble in the quarter-finals. The Russian struggled to beat Christopher Eubanks, the forty-third-ranked player in the world. Medvedev needed five sets to take down the young American, setting up a rematch with Alcaraz. Still, he has one of the year's best records at 41-8 with five titles, which is almost as good as Alcaraz. Though Medvedev has now won 20 titles in his career, he has yet to win one of grass. That, along with his difficult quarter-final matchup, has us avoiding betting on the Russian to take down the world's top player on Friday.

Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee, Wisconsin. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid. As an adult, Michael started picking games for a small sports betting site and has built it into a career. His experience allows him to provide tips and information to help other bettors improve their game. Michael cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams, the Arizona State Sun Devils (his alma mater), and the Ottawa Senators. He specializes in baseball betting but has extensive experience in football, basketball, and hockey. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children or hiking and enjoying the outdoors.