Suns vs Nuggets, Round 2 Playoff Matchup: Betting Preview, Odds & Trends 

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By:
Michael Savio
04/28/2023
News

Highlights

  • The Nuggets and Suns split their season series 2-2
  • Booker and Durant are boosted by one of the best distributors in the league, Chris Paul
  • Denver has been fantastic at home this season, posting a record of 34-7

The Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets easily advanced to the second round of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. These two powerhouses will now face each other in this highlt anticipated playoff matchup. The Nuggets are the one seed in the West and are looking for their first NBA title, while an improved Suns team fights to return to the Finals.

Below we will provide an overview of the matchup, cover the strengths and weaknesses of both teams, and review the odds from US sportsbooks.

You've come to the right place if you need help with your NBA playoff betting.

Suns vs Nuggets Overview

The series will tip off on Saturday, April 29 in Denver, CO. The Nuggets will have the home-court advantage after finishing with the best record in the Western Conference. Denver has been fantastic at home this season, posting a record of 34-7.  

The Suns entered as a four-seed this season after injuries hampered them for most of the year. They now have their stars healthy and playing well, making them a popular pick to win the West. However, they went 17-24 on the road this season and lost both of their games in Denver.

The Nuggets and Suns split their season series 2-2. 

Phoenix Suns Preview

The Suns enter as the four seed, but don’t let that fool you. They have dealt with injuries to their two MVP-level stars, Kevin Durant and Devin Booker. Their inability to get healthy at the same time caused the Suns to lose a lot of games they shouldn’t have. It’s unsurprising, considering they gave up several key pieces to acquire Durant at the trade deadline. The Suns looked good against a banged-up Clippers team in round one, but now they’ll face a Nuggets team that led the West for most of the season. 

The Suns' most significant strength is their star power. Booker and Durant are boosted by one of the best distributors in the league, Chris Paul. The trio is a nightmare for any team in the NBA, especially with center Deandre Ayton down low. The young big man is a solid scorer and rebounder who generates second chances for this impressive offense. As long as they can stay healthy, Phoenix certainly has the weapons to win this series.

Phoenix’s biggest issue has been their depth. Their trade for Durant completely demolished their bench, causing them to rely on their stars. They will have Cam Payne back from injury, but besides him, the Suns don’t have many options. If they get into foul trouble or have an injury to one of their starters, it is unlikely Phoenix will hang with the Nuggets over seven games.

Denver Nuggets Preview

The Nuggets once again finished at the top of the Western Conference, but that hasn’t been their issue in the past. Their struggles have come in the playoffs, where they have made far too many early exits over the last few years. They have the talent but can’t match the star power of the Suns. The Nuggets must rely on their depth and protect their home floor to advance to the Western Conference Finals. 

Denver’s most considerable advantage of the series is their MVP-candidate center, Nikola Jokic. The big man almost averaged a triple-double during the regular season and has a chance to win his third consecutive MVP award. Nobody has shown they can stop Jokic, and that should continue against a softer Suns team. However, he’ll need support from Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr to score consistently to keep up with Phoenix.

The Nuggets' biggest weakness is their supporting cast around Jokic. While Porter and Murray are good, they don’t provide the consistency of the Suns' top players. Both are capable of scoring 40 or 4 points in any game. It was enough to cost them a trip to the NBA Finals, and they could do so again against a very dangerous Suns team. 

Suns vs Nuggets Odds

While the Nuggets are the one seed, they are actually the underdog to win this series. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Suns are -140 to win the series, while the Nuggets are at +120. Kevin Durant being back in the lineup is a big reason why, but you can believe that NBA betting sites factor in Denver’s playoff struggles in the past when setting these odds.

Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee, Wisconsin. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid. As an adult, Michael started picking games for a small sports betting site and has built it into a career. His experience allows him to provide tips and information to help other bettors improve their game. Michael cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams, the Arizona State Sun Devils (his alma mater), and the Ottawa Senators. He specializes in baseball betting but has extensive experience in football, basketball, and hockey. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children or hiking and enjoying the outdoors.