NCAAF Betting: The Two Championship Games That Could Change the Playoff Picture

Michael Savio pic
By:
Michael Savio
11/30/2023
NCAAF

Highlights

  • Oregon is second in the country in offensive yards (541.1 YDS/G) and fifteenth in defensive yards (306.9 YDS/G)
  • Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. has thrown for 3,899 yards and 32 TD in 2023
  • Alabama has won seven of their previous eight matchups with Georgia

It is officially Championship Week for college football, and it features a loaded slate of games. The Pac-12 and SEC championship games both have massive playoff implications, with the losers likely seeing their hopes for a National Championship come to an end.

Below, we will break down all three games to give you everything you need to wager on them confidently at NCAAF betting sites this weekend.

Pac-12 Championship: #5 Oregon Ducks vs #3 Washington Huskies 

  • Time: Friday, December 1 at 8:00 PM EST
  • Where: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV
  • Spread: Oregon -9.5 (-105) | Washington +9.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Oregon -350 | Washington +270
  • Total: Over 66.5 (-115) | Under 66.5 (-105) 

Odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook 

Our first major championship game comes from the Pac-12. Oregon and Washington met back on October 14, with the Huskies winning at home 36-33. The win launched them into the College Football Playoff (CFP) conversation, but it was far from pretty. Oregon looked like the better team for the final three quarters, missing a 43-yard field goal that would have tied the game.

While Washington is undefeated, Oregon has looked like the better team this season. They rank second in the country in offensive yards gained (541.1 YDS/G) and fifteenth in defensive yards allowed (306.9 YDS/G). They finished the season by winning four of their previous five games by at least 24 points, including a 31-7 win against a very good Oregon State team last week. 

Conversely, Washington hasn’t beaten a team by more than ten points since September 23. They barely escaped with a win against Washington State last week, nailing a last second field goal to seal the win. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (3,899 yards, 32 TD) has been elite, making up for the teams other weaknesses. He had a great game against Oregon this season, and he’ll need to do so again tonight.

SEC Championship: #1 Georgia Bulldogs vs #8 Alabama Crimson Tide 

  • Time: Saturday, December 2 at 4:00 PM EST
  • Where: Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA
  • Spread: Georgia -5.5 (-108) | Alabama +5.5 (-112)
  • Moneyline: Georgia -205 | Alabama +168
  • Total: Over 55.5 (-105) | Under 55.5 (-115) 

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook 

Our second major championship comes from a familiar SEC matchup. The top-ranked Georgia Bulldogs (12-0) will take on the eighth-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (11-1). These teams did not meet in the regular season. Georgia has remained in the top spot of the CFP rankings, easily going undefeated despite facing four ranked opponents. They finished the season in impressive fashion, with wins against #9 Missouri, # 11 Ole Miss, and #21 Tennessee.

Conversely, Alabama lost their second game of the season at home against Texas. However, they were able to turn things around to run through their remaining schedule, taking down three ranked teams. The survived a scare from Auburn in the Iron Bowl, setting them up for a shot to make the playoffs. This isn’t the most overwhelming team, but they are a good defensive team.

While these teams did not meet in 2023, they have plenty of recent history. While the Bulldogs beat the Tide in last year’s College Football Playoffs, they have not beaten Alabama in the SEC Championship since its inception in 1992. In fact. Alabama has won seven of their last meetings with Georgia. While Georgia is coming off back-to-back National Championships, it is a mistake to count out this Alabama team.

Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee, Wisconsin. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid. As an adult, Michael started picking games for a small sports betting site and has built it into a career. His experience allows him to provide tips and information to help other bettors improve their game. Michael cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams, the Arizona State Sun Devils (his alma mater), and the Ottawa Senators. He specializes in baseball betting but has extensive experience in football, basketball, and hockey. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children or hiking and enjoying the outdoors.